Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹395B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +19.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,217). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹447.28 to ₹1,217). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹103.65 – ₹1,884 · fair‑value band ₹447.28 – ₹1,217 · the ₹1,882 price screens above the ₹828.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Welspun Corp Limited (WELCORP) currently trades at ₹1,882, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹828.27, implying the stock looks roughly 56.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Welspun Corp Limited generated revenue of ₹168B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. Net debt stands at ₹8.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹447.28 (bear case) to ₹1,217 (bull case); at ₹1,882, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 166% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -56%, WELCORP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹996.63) versus Dividend Discount (₹86.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 93
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Welspun Corp Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, trades in, distributes, and sells steel pipes, tubes, bars, coils, and plates in India, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Steel Products and Others segments.
Full company description
Welspun Corp Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, trades in, distributes, and sells steel pipes, tubes, bars, coils, and plates in India, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Steel Products and Others segments. The company offers carbon steel line pipes comprising longitudinal submerged arc welding, helically submerged arc welding, high frequency welding, bends, and anti-corrosion and concrete weight coating; ductile iron pipes; thermo-mechanically treated bars; pig iron products; stainless steel and alloy products; water tanks; industrial containers; SMC panel tanks; electrical enclosures; and uPVC interiors. It also provides plastic products; basic precious and non-ferrous metals; prefabricated structures, infra project services, and turnkey projects; custom moulded products; polymers and its products; PVC/CPVC pipes and fittings for water supply; water pipes; and billet, rolled bar, black bar, ingot, bloom, and seamless pipes and tubes. The company's products are used in onshore and offshore oil, gas, and water transmission; gas distribution; households, commercial buildings, and institutional settings; hydrogen pipelines; and nuclear, space, defence, power and energy, and petrochemicals sectors. The company was formerly known as Welspun Gujarat Stahl Rohren Limited and changed its name to Welspun Corp Limited in April 2010. Welspun Corp Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Welspun Corp Limited reported revenue of ₹168B in FY2026 versus ₹63.3B in FY2022, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹16.1B in FY2026, compounding +38.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
WELCORP screens 56% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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