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G. Willi-Food International Ltd (WILC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $445M

GW G. Willi-Food International Ltd logo G. Willi-Food International Ltd WILC · US
Price$28.99
Fair Value$19.38
Upside-33.2%
Quality63/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.94% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $13.59 – $28.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from $19.83 to $19.38 (−2.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($28.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($13.59 to $28.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.90 $7.40 Fair Value $19.38 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.40 – $36.90 · fair‑value band $13.59 – $28.02 · the $28.99 price screens above the $19.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

G. Willi-Food International Ltd (WILC) currently trades at $28.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.38, implying the stock looks roughly 33.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, G. Willi-Food International Ltd generated revenue of $598M at a net margin of 14.6%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $119M. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.59 (bear case) to $28.02 (bull case); at $28.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -33%, WILC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $24.22 $29.85 $36.80 80
Residual Income $41.81 $47.47 $73.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF $38.89 $59.47 $82.56 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.08 $30.50 $38.91 38
Owner Earnings $48.33 $64.99 $86.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit $38.89 $59.76 $86.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $42.90 $67.18 $95.40 41
5Y P/E Exit $64.50 $107.07 $151.53 38
10Y Revenue Exit $31.43 $47.86 $69.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $34.83 $52.53 $76.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $47.36 $77.66 $114.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $40.65 $119.25 $157.64 54
Lynch FV $24.90 $35.57 $46.24 50
PEG = 1.0 $24.90 $35.57 $46.24 46
EPV $34.37 $37.84 $40.74 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $25.64 $46.20 $63.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $25.64 $38.90 $49.36 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $94.16 $125.55 $156.94 63
P/S Multiple $48.44 $64.59 $80.74 58
P/B Multiple $76.23 $101.64 $127.05 55
EV/EBIT $71.54 $92.43 $113.32 53
EV/EBITDA $61.94 $79.63 $97.32 54
EV/Revenue $51.27 $69.44 $87.60 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $23.44 $31.40 $46.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $24.22 $29.85 $36.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF $38.89 $59.47 $82.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $41.81 $47.47 $73.14 76
ROIC Compounder $34.37 $37.84 $40.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $76.31 $109.02 $141.72 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($109.02) versus Growth DCF ($29.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $598M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 14.6%
Return on equity 14.5%
Free cash flow $22.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.3
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $2.23
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net cash $119M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

G. Willi-Food International Ltd. designs, imports, markets, and distributes food products under the Willi-Food and Euro European Dairies brand name worldwide.

Full company description

G. Willi-Food International Ltd. designs, imports, markets, and distributes food products under the Willi-Food and Euro European Dairies brand name worldwide. The company offers canned vegetables and pickles, including mushrooms, artichoke, beans, asparagus, capers, corn kernels, baby corn, palm hearts, vine leaves, sour pickles, mixed pickled vegetables, pickled peppers, olives, garlic, roasted eggplant, sun and dried tomatoes; canned fish, such as tuna, sardines, anchovies, smoked and pressed cod liver, herring, fish paste, and salmon; and canned fruits, including pineapple, peaches, apricots, pears, cherries, and fruit cocktail. It also provides edible oils, including olive oil, sunflower oil, soybean oil, corn oil, and rapeseed oil; dairy and dairy substitute products, such as hard and semi-hard cheeses, molded cheeses, feta, bulgarian cubes, goat cheese, fetina, butter, butter spreads, margarine, melted cheese, cheese alternatives, condensed milk, whipped cream, yogurt, and frozen pizza; and dried fruit and nuts that includes figs, apricots and organic apricots, chestnuts organic chestnuts, sunflower seeds, walnuts, pine nuts, cashews, banana chips, pistachios, and peanuts. In addition, the company offers instant noodle soup, frozen edamame soybeans, freeze dried instant coffee, bagels, breadstick, coffee creamers, lemon juice, cookies, vinegar, sweet pastry and crackers, sauces, corn flour, rice, rice sticks, pasta, organic pasta, spaghetti and noodles, breakfast cereals, corn flakes, rusks, tortilla, dried apples snacks, deserts, and ice cream. It sells its products through supermarket chains and wholesalers. The company was formerly known as G. Willi-Food Ltd. and changed its name to G. Willi-Food International Ltd. in June 1996. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Yavne, Israel. G. Willi-Food International Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Willy-Food Investments Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

G. Willi-Food International Ltd reported revenue of $561M in FY2025 versus $454M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $83.1M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$561M
Latest YoY
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 $454M
FY22 $498M
FY23 $543M
FY24 $576M
FY25 $561M
Net income +16.5%/yr
FY21 $45.1M
FY22 $41.6M
FY23 $31.7M
FY24 $70.3M
FY25 $83.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +19.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.0 pp

of which total revenue +6.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin +4.6 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

WILC screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "G. Willi-Food International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WILC

Peer Group

Food Distribution · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.27× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 42 · sector 14
PAST 58 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 59 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $81.69 $60.58 -26%
US Foods Holding USFD $99.13 $55.10 -44%
Performance Food Group PFGC $113.17 $37.94 -66%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €17.68 €21.59 +22%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.90 THB 17.04 THB +14%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $95.79 $37.27 -61%
Olam Group VC2 1.33 SGD 2.12 SGD +59%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $50.19 $6.00 -88%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $79.24 $47.78 -40%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.92 A$5.33 +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is G. Willi-Food International Ltd (WILC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.38 versus a price of $28.99, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WILC?
Our model-based fair value for G. Willi-Food International Ltd is $19.38 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.99.
What is the quality score of WILC?
G. Willi-Food International Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of G. Willi-Food International Ltd (WILC)?
G. Willi-Food International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $598M (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WILC?
The net profit margin of G. Willi-Food International Ltd is about 14.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does G. Willi-Food International Ltd pay a dividend?
G. Willi-Food International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.94% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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