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WeRide Inc. (WRD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of WeRide Inc. $3.44, price $5.03, upside -31.5%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US · ADR · Home Hong Kong · ISIN US9509151083

WI WeRide Inc. logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

WeRide Inc.

WRD · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $3.44 · Overvalued (−31.5%)
!Quality 26/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +8.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$40.40 $5.03 Fair Value $3.44 Oct 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range $5.03 – $40.40 · fair‑value band $2.27 – $4.30 · the $5.03 price screens above the $3.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

WeRide Inc., an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving products and solutions for mobility, logistics, and sanitation industries in the People's Republic of China and Europe. Its product categories include robotaxis, robobus, robovan, and robosweeper.

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WeRide Inc., an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving products and solutions for mobility, logistics, and sanitation industries in the People's Republic of China and Europe. Its product categories include robotaxis, robobus, robovan, and robosweeper. The company also offers advanced driver-assistance system solutions; intelligent data services; and WeRide Go app, an online ride-hailing platform. It has a strategic alliance with ELEVATE Slovakia to launch autonomous driving programs in Slovekia. WeRide Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares (WRD) currently trades at $5.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.44, 31.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $2.27 (bear) to $4.30 (bull), the price of $5.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares reported revenue of 666M CNY in FY2025 versus 138M CNY in FY2021, a compound +48.2%/yr. Reported net income was −1.6B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.8B · P/S ratio 2.54 · EPS (TTM) $−0.7600 · Net margin −228% · Return on equity −23.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.2% · Operating margin −378% · Revenue (TTM) 726M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −32%, WRD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.27 Fair Value $3.44 Bull $4.30
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.89 $2.54 $3.79 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.89 $2.54 $3.79 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+84.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,550.5% (2020) → −270.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

WRD screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 691 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −32.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 57.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.55× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.74 €172.46 −8%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $229.57 $342.73 +49%
Shopify Inc SHOP $144.01 $64.36 −55%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $134.01 $147.41 +10%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.36 $103.69 +49%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $330.31 $74.36 −77%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $261.80 $150.01 −43%
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.94 $454.04 +89%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $268.70 $32.52 −88%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $326.70 $225.48 −31%

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WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares · Fair Value
$3.44 −32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WRD

Frequently asked questions

Is WeRide Inc. (WRD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.44 versus a price of $5.03, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WRD?
Our model-based fair value for WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is $3.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.03.
What is the quality score of WRD?
WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.27, optimistic scenario $4.30. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.44, about −32% upside versus a price of $5.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.27, optimistic scenario $4.30. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 726M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares it is $3.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.03. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WRD trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.03, fair value $3.44, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WRD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.44). For WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares the two are $1.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares worth?
The market values WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares at about $1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.03; our models calculate a fair value of $3.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WRD?
Our models span a range for WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares: cautious scenario $2.27, base $3.44, optimistic $4.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
Balance-sheet figures for WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −23.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WRD from its 52-week high?
WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares trades at $5.03, about 59% below its 52-week high of $12.38 and at the low of $5.03 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.03, calculated fair value $3.44 (−32%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WRD calculated?
We run WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $5.03. Our model-based fair value is $3.44, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.30). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.27 to $4.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The market capitalisation of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is $1.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is 2.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
Earnings per share at WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares are $−0.7600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The net margin of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is −228% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is −23.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is −21.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
The operating margin of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is −378% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WeRide Inc. (WRD)?
Revenue at WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is growing +57.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does WeRide Inc. (WRD) generate?
The free cash flow of WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares is −1.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does WeRide Inc. (WRD) hold?
WeRide Inc. American Depositary Shares holds more cash than debt, 6.3B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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