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Xponential Fitness, Inc (XPOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $335M

Price$7.03
Fair Value$14.52
Upside+106.5%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.62 – $14.52

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

Xponential Fitness, Inc (XPOF) currently trades at $7.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.52 — implying the stock looks roughly 106.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; and BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xponential Fitness, Inc (XPOF) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.52 versus a price of $7.03 — about +107% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of XPOF?
Our 21-model fair value for Xponential Fitness, Inc is $14.52 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.03.
What is the quality score of XPOF?
Xponential Fitness, Inc has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.