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Data-driven stock valuation

Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR (XTEPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.5B · ISIN US9841561098

At a glance

XI Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR logo Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR XTEPY · US
Price$44.00
Fair Value$98.32
Upside+123.5%
Quality50/100

A solid business, trading 55% below our fair value of $98.32.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR is $98.32 per share against a price of $44.00, so the fair value sits 123% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·6.50% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/11)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $60.89 to $153.77

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −9.3% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($60.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($60.89 to $153.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$158.27 $18.32 Fair Value $98.32 Jul 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.32 – $158.27 · fair‑value band $60.89 – $153.77 · the $44.00 price screens below the $98.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR (XTEPY) currently trades at $44.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $98.32, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $889.21 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $44.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $250.83, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR generated revenue of $14.2B at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $923M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Scenario range: $60.89 (bear) to $153.77 (bull), the price of $44.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 123%, XTEPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($4.72 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $361.60 $520.71 $754.34 80
Growth DCF $359.24 $502.62 $702.15 79
Owner Earnings $613.91 $923.25 $1,377 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $361.60 $520.71 $754.34 80
Owner Earnings $613.91 $923.25 $1,377 76
5Y Revenue Exit $452.71 $726.06 $1,093 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $523.66 $867.95 $1,293 74
5Y P/E Exit $652.24 $1,125 $1,656 70
10Y Revenue Exit $400.72 $631.57 $975.35 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $455.04 $724.96 $1,124 67
10Y P/E Exit $532.06 $894.21 $1,394 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $336.06 $1,402 $1,912 64
Lynch FV $354.93 $507.05 $659.16 61
PEG = 1.0 $354.93 $507.05 $659.16 57
EPV $353.33 $388.64 $418.06 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $170.76 $307.70 $423.59 68
DDM Multi-Stage $170.76 $281.08 $328.70 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $815.43 $1,087 $1,359 63
P/S Multiple $458.90 $611.87 $764.83 58
P/B Multiple $630.11 $840.14 $1,050 55
EV/EBIT $824.11 $1,067 $1,311 66
EV/EBITDA $680.05 $875.27 $1,070 67
EV/Revenue $522.68 $706.24 $889.80 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $187.19 $250.83 $374.37 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $359.24 $502.62 $702.15 79
Rev-Margin DCF $452.71 $719.04 $1,051 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $337.06 $388.50 $654.78 74
ROIC Compounder $353.33 $399.95 $473.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $622.45 $889.21 $1,156 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($889.21) versus Asset-Based ($250.83). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 6.2
P/S ratio 0.60 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $7.11 price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.2
Dividend yield 6.5% payout 40.2%
Net margin 9.7% FY2025
Return on equity 14.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $14.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1% 3y avg +2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $707M FY2025
Net cash $923M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Xtep International Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells footwear, apparel, and accessories for adults and children in Mainland China. It operates through two segments, Mass Market and Professional Sports. The company sells its products under the Xtep, Saucony, and Merrell brands.

Full company description

Xtep International Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells footwear, apparel, and accessories for adults and children in Mainland China. It operates through two segments, Mass Market and Professional Sports. The company sells its products under the Xtep, Saucony, and Merrell brands. It sells its products through online channels and stores in the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa regions. Xtep International Holdings Limited was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Xiamen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR reported revenue of 13.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.8B
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+8.5%
Dividend yield6.5%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 8.5% vs 10Y 6.7%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11.2% (2020) → 10.6% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop41% (2014) · in USD
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 10.0B CNY
FY22 12.9B CNY
FY23 14.3B CNY
FY24 13.6B CNY
FY25 13.8B CNY
Net income +10.1%/yr
FY21 908M CNY
FY22 922M CNY
FY23 1.0B CNY
FY24 1.2B CNY
FY25 1.3B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.9 %

of which total revenue +11.6 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %

EBIT margin −3.9 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR · Fair Value
$98.32 +55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XTEPY

Peer Group

Apparel Retail · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +124% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.1× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 31
FUTURE36 · sector 18
PAST58 · sector 24
HEALTH94 · sector 100
DIVIDEND100 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX 240.90 PLN 189.78 PLN −21%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $135.12 $84.95 −37%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$37.20 HK$15.24 −59%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $228.55 $118.41 −48%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $258.56 $143.65 −44%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,990 ₹709.49 −76%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $100.61 $299.63 +198%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$140.07 C$70.30 −50%
The Gap, Inc GAP $20.60 $36.44 +77%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $80.97 $92.88 +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR (XTEPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $98.32 versus a price of $44.00, about +123% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XTEPY?
Our model-based fair value for Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR is $98.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $44.00.
What is the quality score of XTEPY?
Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR (XTEPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $98.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $60.89, optimistic scenario $153.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $98.32, about +123% upside versus a price of $44.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $60.89, optimistic scenario $153.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR (XTEPY)?
Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XTEPY?
The net profit margin of Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Xtep International Holdings Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.50% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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