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Xtglobal Infotech Ltd (XTGLOBAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · IN · Market cap ₹3.9B

XI Xtglobal Infotech Ltd XTGLOBAL · BSE
Price₹29.74
Fair Value₹18.34
Upside-38.3%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.18% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ₹11.43 – ₹23.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹18.53 to ₹18.34 (−1.0%) since Jul 6, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹23.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹11.43 to ₹23.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹73.97 ₹20.95 Fair Value ₹18.34 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹20.95 – ₹73.97 · fair‑value band ₹11.43 – ₹23.16 · the ₹29.74 price screens above the ₹18.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Xtglobal Infotech Ltd (XTGLOBAL) currently trades at ₹29.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹18.34, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xtglobal Infotech Ltd generated revenue of ₹3.7B at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at ₹351M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹11.43 (bear case) to ₹23.16 (bull case); at ₹29.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -38%, XTGLOBAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹12.24 ₹12.89 ₹13.67 76
ROIC Compounder ₹9.80 ₹11.49 ₹12.96 72
Gordon GGM ₹5.02 ₹9.99 ₹15.13 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹14.40 ₹33.07 ₹70.83 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹7.41 ₹51.70 ₹72.55 54
Lynch FV ₹26.71 ₹38.15 ₹49.60 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹26.71 ₹38.15 ₹49.60 46
EPV ₹9.80 ₹11.49 ₹12.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹5.02 ₹9.99 ₹15.13 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹5.02 ₹8.64 ₹10.55 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹13.90 ₹18.53 ₹23.16 63
P/S Multiple ₹13.90 ₹18.53 ₹23.16 58
P/B Multiple ₹13.90 ₹18.53 ₹23.16 55
EV/EBIT ₹14.76 ₹20.00 ₹25.24 53
EV/EBITDA ₹13.86 ₹18.80 ₹23.74 54
EV/Revenue ₹12.67 ₹18.51 ₹24.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹7.59 ₹10.18 ₹15.19 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹12.24 ₹12.89 ₹13.67 76
ROIC Compounder ₹9.80 ₹11.49 ₹12.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹32.86 ₹46.94 ₹61.02 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹46.94) versus Dividend Discount (₹8.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.8%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 7.3%
Free cash flow −₹14.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 35.4
More key figures
Operating margin 3.1%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.8400
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +93.3%
Net debt ₹351M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

XTGlobal Infotech Limited provides software product development, training, and software services in India and internationally. The company offers software development, maintenance of software and related services, and business process services.

Full company description

XTGlobal Infotech Limited provides software product development, training, and software services in India and internationally. The company offers software development, maintenance of software and related services, and business process services. It also offers application transformation management, cloud infrastructure, robotic process automation, product engineering, and other services. In addition, the company provides process automation, accounts payable, documentation, data extraction, image review, and automation solutions; ERP, RPA, low-code, and manual automated test planning related services. Further, it offers BPO services under the Circulus brand. XTGlobal Infotech Limited serves banking, financial, healthcare, telecom, insurance, manufacturing, retailing, and other public sectors. The company was formerly known as Frontier Informatics Limited and changed its name to XTGlobal Infotech Limited in December 2019. XTGlobal Infotech Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xtglobal Infotech Ltd reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2025 versus ₹2.2B in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹146M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹3.7B
Latest YoY
+57.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+144.5%
Revenue +14.2%/yr
FY21 ₹2.2B
FY22 ₹2.4B
FY23 ₹2.2B
FY24 ₹2.3B
FY25 ₹3.7B
Net income −7.8%/yr
FY21 ₹202M
FY22 ₹125M
FY23 ₹117M
FY24 ₹99.1M
FY25 ₹146M

XTGLOBAL screens 38% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xtglobal Infotech Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XTGLOBAL

Peer Group

Software - Application · 723 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.06× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 14 · sector 38
PAST 29 · sector 12
HEALTH 93 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.46 C$16.26 +30%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 -86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $75.36 $43.66 -42%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $193.32 $249.28 +29%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $124.94 $43.73 -65%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $323.13 $112.57 -65%
Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 ¥254.50 ¥81.23 -68%
Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI ₹3,712 ₹2,519 -32%
Douzone Bizon Co 012510 120,000 KRW 92,181 KRW -23%
KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH ₹922.00 ₹556.85 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xtglobal Infotech Ltd (XTGLOBAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹18.34 versus a price of ₹29.74, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XTGLOBAL?
Our model-based fair value for Xtglobal Infotech Ltd is ₹18.34 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹29.74.
What is the quality score of XTGLOBAL?
Xtglobal Infotech Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xtglobal Infotech Ltd (XTGLOBAL)?
Xtglobal Infotech Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XTGLOBAL?
The net profit margin of Xtglobal Infotech Ltd is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xtglobal Infotech Ltd pay a dividend?
Xtglobal Infotech Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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