YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited (YTOEF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $58.9M
YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited
YTOEF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.1113 to $0.2200 (+97.7%) since Jun 26, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 57% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1444). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1444 to $0.2726) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1400 – $0.6819 · fair‑value band $0.1444 – $0.2726 · the $0.1400 price screens below the $0.2200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited (YTOEF) currently trades at $0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $490M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1444 (bear case) to $0.2726 (bull case); at $0.1400, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 57%, YTOEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.66) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1700). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited, an investment holding company, provides freight forwarding services in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Australia, and other Asian regions. It operates through five segments: Air Freight, Ocean Freight, Logistics, International Express and Parcel, and Others.
Full company description
YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited, an investment holding company, provides freight forwarding services in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Australia, and other Asian regions. It operates through five segments: Air Freight, Ocean Freight, Logistics, International Express and Parcel, and Others. The company offers freight forwarding services through air, sea, and land, as well as trucking services. It also provides other services, including warehousing, distribution, customs clearance, general sales agency, and contract logistics services. In addition, the company is involved in the issuing of bills of lading and property holding activities; offers freight forwarding brokerage, software and information technology, and supply chain management services; and acts as import and export declaration agent. It serves customers in various sectors, including garment, footwear and electronics, and small parcel transportation for e-commerce businesses. The company was formerly known as YTO Express (International) Holdings Limited and changed its name to YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited in November 2022. YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited operates as a subsidiary of YTO Global Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
YTO International Express and Supply Chain Technology Limited reported revenue of $3.2B in FY2025 versus $7.6B in FY2021, a compound −19.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$146M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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