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Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited (YUEIY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.7B

YY Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited logo Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited YUEIY · US
Price$8.70
Fair Value$20.19
Upside+132.1%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
9.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range $14.04 – $25.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +12.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 132% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.36 $3.55 Fair Value $20.19 Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.55 – $11.36 · fair‑value band $14.04 – $25.23 · the $8.70 price screens below the $20.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited (YUEIY) currently trades at $8.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.19, implying the stock looks roughly 132.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited generated revenue of $8.0B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $341M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.04 (bear case) to $25.23 (bull case); at $8.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 132%, YUEIY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $11.16 $15.07 $20.20 80
Residual Income $11.99 $12.87 $14.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF $10.40 $15.34 $20.68 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $10.92 $15.18 $21.04 38
Owner Earnings $14.36 $20.10 $27.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit $10.40 $15.23 $21.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.56 $24.46 $34.48 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.44 $24.25 $33.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.24 $14.54 $19.87 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.67 $20.65 $29.40 37
10Y P/E Exit $13.59 $20.51 $28.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.07 $19.72 $25.50 54
PEG = 1.0 $3.52 $5.03 $6.55 46
EPV $8.68 $9.90 $10.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.29 $12.80 $19.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage $7.29 $10.76 $14.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.59 $26.12 $32.66 63
P/S Multiple $15.14 $20.19 $25.23 58
P/B Multiple $15.14 $20.19 $25.23 55
EV/EBIT $15.38 $20.18 $24.98 53
EV/EBITDA $20.79 $27.39 $33.99 54
EV/Revenue $10.68 $14.84 $19.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.19 $9.64 $14.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.16 $15.07 $20.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF $10.40 $15.34 $20.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.99 $12.87 $14.29 76
ROIC Compounder $8.68 $9.90 $10.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.94 $21.35 $27.75 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($21.35) versus Asset-Based ($9.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow $312M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.2
More key figures
Operating margin 2.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.19
Dividend yield 9.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +68.5%
Net debt $341M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells athletic, athleisure, casual, and outdoor footwear in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells athletic, athleisure, casual, and outdoor footwear in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates as an original design manufacturer/original equipment manufacturer for various international brand names, such as adidas, Asics, New Balance, Nike, and Salomon. It retails sportswear, outdoor, and leisure products; and operates a sport service platform, which includes events, venues, media, broadcasting, shopping, activities, registration, ticketing, and other sports-related services online and offline for event sponsorship, promotions, sports center operations, and design services. In addition, the company provides commercial spaces to retailers and distributors; and corporate management consultation services. Further, it trades in footwear. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited is a subsidiary of Wealthplus Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of $8.0B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $381M in FY2025, compounding +34.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.0B
Latest YoY
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+6.7%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.0B
FY23 $7.9B
FY24 $8.2B
FY25 $8.0B
Net income +34.9%/yr
FY21 $115M
FY22 $296M
FY23 $275M
FY24 $392M
FY25 $381M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YUEIY

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +132% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 32 · sector 23
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $44.37 $35.63 -20%
adidas AG 1ADS €165.00 €65.71 -60%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $106.49 $125.16 +18%
On Holding ONON $38.20 $17.64 -54%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.11 ¥13.03 +8%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $44.36 $44.14 -0%
Crocs, Inc CROX $138.91 $203.65 +47%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥31.10 ¥54.71 +76%
PUMA SE PUM €29.31 €10.57 -64%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $43.26 $11.69 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited (YUEIY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.19 versus a price of $8.70, about +132% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YUEIY?
Our model-based fair value for Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited is $20.19 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.70.
What is the quality score of YUEIY?
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited (YUEIY)?
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YUEIY?
The net profit margin of Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited pay a dividend?
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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