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Zen Technologies Limited (ZENTEC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹159B

ZT Zen Technologies Limited ZENTEC · NSE
Price₹1,865
Fair Value₹394.75
Upside-78.8%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 28.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.06% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ₹305.41 – ₹484.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹484.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,573 ₹70.52 Fair Value ₹394.75 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹70.52 – ₹2,573 · fair‑value band ₹305.41 – ₹484.10 · the ₹1,865 price screens above the ₹394.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Zen Technologies Limited (ZENTEC) currently trades at ₹1,865, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹394.75, implying the stock looks roughly 78.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zen Technologies Limited generated revenue of ₹6.9B at a net margin of 28.1%. Revenue declined 45.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹305.41 (bear case) to ₹484.10 (bull case); at ₹1,865, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -79%, ZENTEC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹32.18 to ₹1,020). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹480.88 ₹915.77 ₹1,628 80
Residual Income ₹185.15 ₹207.49 ₹390.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹264.33 ₹393.68 ₹668.14 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹508.78 ₹778.04 ₹1,635 38
Owner Earnings ₹311.60 ₹658.98 ₹1,388 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹245.76 ₹348.35 ₹559.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹370.23 ₹600.04 ₹1,050 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹423.66 ₹872.50 ₹1,480 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹321.31 ₹546.37 ₹654.35 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹416.51 ₹814.39 ₹1,487 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹455.50 ₹929.45 ₹1,698 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹146.26 ₹1,020 ₹1,431 54
Lynch FV ₹526.98 ₹752.83 ₹978.68 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹526.98 ₹752.83 ₹978.68 46
EPV ₹191.92 ₹217.36 ₹239.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹18.36 ₹38.17 ₹60.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹18.36 ₹32.18 ₹40.06 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹338.77 ₹451.70 ₹564.62 63
P/S Multiple ₹114.69 ₹152.93 ₹191.16 58
P/B Multiple ₹274.25 ₹365.66 ₹457.08 55
EV/EBIT ₹355.21 ₹460.52 ₹565.83 53
EV/EBITDA ₹307.31 ₹396.66 ₹486.00 54
EV/Revenue ₹135.63 ₹176.92 ₹218.21 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹105.02 ₹140.73 ₹210.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹480.88 ₹915.77 ₹1,628 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹264.33 ₹393.68 ₹668.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹185.15 ₹207.49 ₹390.95 76
ROIC Compounder ₹191.92 ₹229.21 ₹292.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹689.29 ₹984.70 ₹1,280 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹984.70) versus Dividend Discount (₹32.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹6.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -45.2%
Net margin 28.1%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow ₹2.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 86.7
More key figures
Operating margin 25.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹21.51
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -68.8%
Net cash ₹3.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zen Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of training simulators in India and internationally.

Full company description

Zen Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of training simulators in India and internationally. The company provides anti-drone systems; training and simulation live ranges, comprising smart and multi-functional target systems, tank targets, master control station for live-firing ranges, air-to-ground firing range scoring system, containerized tubular and indoor shooting range, shoot house for live and simulated indoor tactical training, special purpose adapter for hand guns, cornershot weapon system, tank zeroing system, and containerized small arms firing range; armour combat training, indoor tracking, hand grenade simulator, and tactical engagement simulation systems; advanced weapon, medium machine gun, automatic grenade launcher, mortar integrated and carrier mortar tracked integrated, anti-tank guided missile, combat and infantry weapons training, artillery forward observers, integrated air defence, UAV mission, rotary wing, infantry combat vehicle driving, crew gunnery, gunnery, driving, BMP II integrated missile, driving training, automated driving, and bus and tatra driving simulators; and driving aptitude testing system. It serves police, paramilitary, armed, and security forces; government departments comprising transport, mining, and infrastructure; and the civilian markets. Zen Technologies Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Zen Technologies Limited reported revenue of ₹6.9B in FY2026 versus ₹698M in FY2022, a compound +77.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.9B in FY2026, compounding +214.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹6.9B
Latest YoY
−29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+65.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.6%
Revenue +77.2%/yr
FY22 ₹698M
FY23 ₹2.2B
FY24 ₹4.4B
FY25 ₹9.7B
FY26 ₹6.9B
Net income +214.2%/yr
FY22 ₹19.9M
FY23 ₹427M
FY24 ₹1.3B
FY25 ₹2.8B
FY26 ₹1.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +40.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +28.7 pp

of which total revenue +30.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.7 pp

EBIT margin +8.5 pp
Tax rate −1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ZENTEC screens 79% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zen Technologies Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZENTEC

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 222 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -45% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 86.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 23.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 63.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 51
PAST 47 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zen Technologies Limited (ZENTEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹394.75 versus a price of ₹1,865, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZENTEC?
Our model-based fair value for Zen Technologies Limited is ₹394.75 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,865.
What is the quality score of ZENTEC?
Zen Technologies Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zen Technologies Limited (ZENTEC)?
Zen Technologies Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZENTEC?
The net profit margin of Zen Technologies Limited is about 28.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zen Technologies Limited pay a dividend?
Zen Technologies Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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