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Zeon Corporation (ZEOOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.9B

ZC Zeon Corporation logo Zeon Corporation ZEOOY · US
Price$9.73
Fair Value$13.68
Upside+40.6%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range $8.13 – $17.10 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $21.16 to $13.68 (−35.3%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($8.13 to $17.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.33 $0.0003 Fair Value $13.68 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0003 – $13.33 · fair‑value band $8.13 – $17.10 · the $9.73 price screens below the $13.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Zeon Corporation (ZEOOY) currently trades at $9.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.68, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zeon Corporation generated revenue of $412B at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.13 (bear case) to $17.10 (bull case); at $9.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 41%, ZEOOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.23 $13.55 $21.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.48 $22.55 $43.54 74
ROIC Compounder $6.81 $7.61 $8.28 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.72 $12.31 $23.03 38
5Y Revenue Exit $11.34 $19.85 $37.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.53 $22.25 $41.34 41
5Y P/E Exit $14.21 $32.00 $56.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.10 $22.77 $31.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.30 $25.10 $49.52 37
10Y P/E Exit $12.42 $28.39 $55.10 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $8.33 $58.08 $81.50 54
Lynch FV $30.01 $42.86 $55.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $30.01 $42.86 $55.72 46
EPV $6.81 $7.61 $8.28 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.62 $20.82 $26.03 63
P/S Multiple $15.62 $20.82 $26.03 58
P/B Multiple $15.62 $20.82 $26.03 55
EV/EBIT $13.26 $17.38 $21.49 53
EV/EBITDA $14.11 $18.50 $22.90 54
EV/Revenue $11.62 $16.20 $20.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.05 $8.10 $12.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.23 $13.55 $21.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.48 $22.55 $43.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.02 $10.90 $13.53 61
ROIC Compounder $6.81 $7.61 $8.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $36.92 $52.74 $68.56 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($52.74) versus Economic Profit ($7.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $412B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.8%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow $18.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 8.7%
EPS (TTM) $1.04
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.7%
Net cash $12.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zeon Corporation engages in the elastomer materials, specialty materials, and other businesses in Japan, North America, Europe, and Asia. It operates through Elastomer Materials Business and High-Performance Materials Business segments. The company provides synthetic rubbers and latices, chemicals, aroma, and specialty chemicals.

Full company description

Zeon Corporation engages in the elastomer materials, specialty materials, and other businesses in Japan, North America, Europe, and Asia. It operates through Elastomer Materials Business and High-Performance Materials Business segments. The company provides synthetic rubbers and latices, chemicals, aroma, and specialty chemicals. It also offers electronic and energy materials, specialty plastics, plastic film, carbon nanotube-related products, and medical products. Its products are used for transportation, electronics, telecommunication, civil engineering, architecture, housing, lifestyle, and industrial applications. Zeon Corporation was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Zeon Corporation reported revenue of $437B in FY2026 versus $362B in FY2022, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was $38.4B in FY2026, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$437B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+3.1%
Revenue +4.8%/yr
FY22 $362B
FY23 $389B
FY24 $382B
FY25 $421B
FY26 $437B
Net income +3.5%/yr
FY22 $33.4B
FY23 $10.6B
FY24 $31.1B
FY25 $26.2B
FY26 $38.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zeon Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZEOOY

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 87 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 39 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zeon Corporation (ZEOOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.68 versus a price of $9.73, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZEOOY?
Our model-based fair value for Zeon Corporation is $13.68 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.73.
What is the quality score of ZEOOY?
Zeon Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zeon Corporation (ZEOOY)?
Zeon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $412B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZEOOY?
The net profit margin of Zeon Corporation is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zeon Corporation pay a dividend?
Zeon Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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