Zug Estates Holding (ZUGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CH · Market cap CHF 1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 1,615). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 1,376 – CHF 2,449 · fair‑value band CHF 969.01 – CHF 1,615 · the CHF 2,210 price screens above the CHF 1,292 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Zug Estates Holding (ZUGN) currently trades at CHF 2,210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 1,292, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zug Estates Holding generated revenue of CHF 91.2M at a net margin of 93.4%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at CHF 646M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 969.01 (bear case) to CHF 1,615 (bull case); at CHF 2,210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -42%, ZUGN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (CHF 1,921) versus Growth DCF (CHF 39.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zug Estates Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, conceives, develops, markets, and manages properties in the Zug region, Switzerland. The company operates in two segments, Real Estate and Hotel & Catering. Its portfolio includes residential, office, retail, hotel, and service use, such as education and culture properties.
Full company description
Zug Estates Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, conceives, develops, markets, and manages properties in the Zug region, Switzerland. The company operates in two segments, Real Estate and Hotel & Catering. Its portfolio includes residential, office, retail, hotel, and service use, such as education and culture properties. The company is also involved in project development and management; and rental properties, as well as the provision of property management services for third parties. In addition, it operates hotels, restaurants, and serviced city apartments, including hotel and catering services. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zug Estates Holding reported revenue of CHF 91.5M in FY2025 versus CHF 71.8M in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 85.2M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
ZUGN screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Swiss Prime Site AG →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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