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Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd stock ¥7.63, price ¥8.55, that is 10.8% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE100000KZ1

GC Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd logo Broad data Nov 5, 2026

Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd

002345 · SHE
Expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 11% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 62/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Broad data
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.4 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin (TTM)
6.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 47/100
Revenue last quarter 27% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥7.63 · Overvalued (−10.8%)
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥16.05 ¥3.15 Fair Value ¥7.63 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.15 – ¥16.05 · fair‑value band ¥4.24 – ¥13.58 · the ¥8.55 price screens above the ¥7.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangdong Chj Industry Co.,Ltd. produces and sells fashion consumer goods. The company operates in two segments, Jewelry and Leather Goods. It offers inlaid, platinum, gold, and other jewelry, as well as women's cosmetics, handbags, wallets, and other leather goods.

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The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.

Stock analysis

Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) currently trades at ¥8.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.63, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.66 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥8.55 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.67, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥4.24 (bear) to ¥13.58 (bull), the price of ¥8.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd reported revenue of 9.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.7%/yr. Reported net income was 497M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 10.7 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.8000 · Dividend yield 6.4% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −11%, 002345 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.24 Fair Value ¥7.63 Bull ¥13.58
Price ¥8.55 · Downside -10.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2137 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥3.89 ¥4.52 ¥5.85 76
EPV ¥7.30 ¥8.26 ¥9.08 74
Owner Earnings ¥4.24 ¥7.63 ¥13.58 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.24 ¥7.63 ¥13.58 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.80 ¥22.51 ¥31.36 63
Lynch FV ¥6.39 ¥9.13 ¥11.87 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.39 ¥9.13 ¥11.87 57
EPV ¥7.30 ¥8.26 ¥9.08 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.85 ¥5.31 ¥7.54 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.85 ¥4.76 ¥5.65 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.23 ¥12.31 ¥15.38 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.13 ¥9.51 ¥11.89 58
P/B Multiple ¥11.37 ¥15.16 ¥18.96 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.78 ¥17.24 ¥21.69 66
EV/EBITDA ¥9.60 ¥13.00 ¥16.40 67
EV/Revenue ¥8.12 ¥11.86 ¥15.59 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.76 ¥2.67 ¥3.34 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.89 ¥4.52 ¥5.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.43 ¥11.21 ¥14.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.56 ¥13.66 ¥17.75 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 54
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 12
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 77
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 79
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 77
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+25.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.9% vs 8.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 10%
2025 sits 150% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002345 screens overvalued: fair value 11% below the price. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 121 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 18.4% · Above median
Return on assets 6.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 7.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 11.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −26.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 6.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.02× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.84× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.13× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)19 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)74 · sector 57
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 901.60 kr 1,424 +58% vs 002345
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$40.28 HK$60.89 +51% vs 002345
Signet Jewelers Limited SIG $117.26 $169.03 +44% vs 002345
Christian Dior SE CDI €441.40 €552.53 +25% vs 002345
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.95 HK$11.89 −1% vs 002345
Tapestry, Inc TPR $132.80 $110.48 −17% vs 002345
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 169.65 CHF 127.66 −25% vs 002345
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €86.62 €36.54 −58% vs 002345
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹590.75 ₹184.73 −69% vs 002345
Titan Company TITAN ₹5,000 ₹1,487 −70% vs 002345

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Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002345

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.63 versus a price of ¥8.55, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002345?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is ¥7.63 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.55.
What is the quality score of 002345?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.63 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.24, optimistic scenario ¥13.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.63, about 11% lower versus a price of ¥8.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.24, optimistic scenario ¥13.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 6.43% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.55 per share a year, a dividend yield of 6.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 23, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2020. The payout ratio is 68.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd it is ¥7.63 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥8.55. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002345 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.55, fair value ¥7.63, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002345?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.63). For Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd the two are ¥0.9200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd at about 7.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.55; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002345?
Our models span a range for Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.24, base ¥7.63, optimistic ¥13.58 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥8.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002345?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.7 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 2.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
What is the PEG ratio of 002345?
The PEG ratio of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 1.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 18.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002345 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd trades at ¥8.55, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥13.96 and 14% above the low of ¥7.51 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥8.55, calculated fair value ¥7.63 (−11%), Quality Score 62/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002345 calculated?
We run Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥7.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥8.55. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.63, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥4.24 to ¥13.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd grew +4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.4 %, EBIT margin −3.3 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 0.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd are ¥0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 6.4% (payout 68.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The net margin of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
The operating margin of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Revenue at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is growing −26.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd are growing +12.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is −144M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd (002345) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong CHJ Industry Co Ltd is 523M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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