Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS stock TRY 49.95, price TRY 73.15, that is 31.7% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.79 TRY – 129.84 TRY · fair‑value band 36.74 TRY – 64.50 TRY · the 73.15 TRY price screens above the 49.95 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
Follow Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, assembly, production, import, and sale of motor vehicles and spare parts in Turkey and internationally.
Show moreShow less
The company offers passenger car models, light commercial vehicles, and heavy commercial vehicles, as well as diesel engines and powertrains under the Ford brand name. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) currently trades at 73.15 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.95 TRY, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 235.53 TRY per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 73.15 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 23.74 TRY, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 36.74 TRY (bear) to 64.50 TRY (bull), the price of 73.15 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS reported revenue of 831B TRL in FY2025 versus 71.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +84.9%/yr. Reported net income was 34.0B TRL in FY2025, compounding +40.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 257B TRY (≈ $5.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 8.5 · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) 8.65 TRY · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −32%, FROTO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear36.74 TRYFair Value 49.95 TRYBull64.50 TRY
Price 73.15 TRY · Downside -31.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.39 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF207.29 TRY279.79 TRY366.02 TRY82
Growth DCF208.69 TRY272.69 TRY344.93 TRY80
Owner Earnings143.16 TRY194.24 TRY255.01 TRY78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF207.29 TRY279.79 TRY366.02 TRY82
Owner Earnings143.16 TRY194.24 TRY255.01 TRY78
5Y Revenue Exit141.16 TRY194.29 TRY257.64 TRY73
5Y EBITDA Exit158.32 TRY225.43 TRY299.46 TRY76
5Y P/E Exit164.64 TRY236.90 TRY309.02 TRY71
10Y Revenue Exit167.14 TRY216.66 TRY275.60 TRY68
10Y EBITDA Exit178.54 TRY234.72 TRY301.94 TRY70
10Y P/E Exit181.93 TRY241.38 TRY307.96 TRY65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd65.86 TRY176.92 TRY231.57 TRY65
Lynch FV34.51 TRY49.31 TRY64.10 TRY61
PEG = 1.034.51 TRY49.31 TRY64.10 TRY57
EPV62.63 TRY71.21 TRY78.16 TRY74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM56.06 TRY93.28 TRY120.47 TRY68
DDM Multi-Stage56.06 TRY79.25 TRY98.89 TRY67
Multiples
P/E Multiple159.80 TRY213.07 TRY266.34 TRY63
P/S Multiple123.49 TRY164.65 TRY205.81 TRY58
P/B Multiple106.31 TRY141.75 TRY177.19 TRY55
EV/EBIT126.17 TRY177.45 TRY228.74 TRY65
EV/EBITDA119.02 TRY167.91 TRY216.81 TRY67
EV/Revenue76.03 TRY120.47 TRY164.92 TRY53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)17.72 TRY23.74 TRY35.44 TRY54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF208.69 TRY272.69 TRY344.93 TRY80
Rev-Margin DCF141.16 TRY198.36 TRY263.15 TRY73
Economic Profit
Residual Income48.00 TRY58.77 TRY78.46 TRY76
ROIC Compounder64.71 TRY77.05 TRY89.71 TRY72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E125.39 TRY179.13 TRY232.87 TRY67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +47.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 5%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+23.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −25.9% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−31.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)17.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)3.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−14.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FROTO
Frequently asked questions
Is Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 49.95 TRY versus a price of 73.15 TRY, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FROTO?
Our model-based fair value for Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 49.95 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 73.15 TRY.
What is the quality score of FROTO?
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 49.95 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.74 TRY, optimistic scenario 64.50 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 49.95 TRY, about 32% lower versus a price of 73.15 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 36.74 TRY, optimistic scenario 64.50 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 775B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS would have to grow free cash flow by -11.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +75.8 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FROTO use?
Our models discount Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS that is -11.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS grew +75.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -11.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (-11.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.82 %: that much free cash flow Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS it is 49.95 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 73.15 TRY. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, FROTO trades above its calculated fair value: price 73.15 TRY, fair value 49.95 TRY, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FROTO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (73.15 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (49.95 TRY). For Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS the two are 23.20 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS at about 257B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 73.15 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 49.95 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FROTO?
Our models span a range for Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 36.74 TRY, base 49.95 TRY, optimistic 64.50 TRY per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 73.15 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FROTO?
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.5 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 49.95 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 17.0%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FROTO from its 52-week high?
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS trades at 73.15 TRY, about 44% below its 52-week high of 129.84 TRY and 12% above the low of 65.05 TRY (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 49.95 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 73.15 TRY, calculated fair value 49.95 TRY (−32%), Quality Score 37/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FROTO calculated?
We run Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 49.95 TRY builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 73.15 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 49.95 TRY, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (64.50 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The market capitalisation of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 257B TRY (≈ $5.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Earnings per share at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS are 8.65 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The net margin of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 3.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 16.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
The operating margin of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Revenue at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is growing −14.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO)?
Earnings per share at Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS are growing −44.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS (FROTO) carry?
The net debt of Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS is 97.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS in the live analysis
One click puts Ford Otomotiv Sanayi AS on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 6, 2026