Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., (FROTO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 274B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −3.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (73.04 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (36.74 TRY to 73.04 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.52 TRY – 129.84 TRY · fair‑value band 36.74 TRY – 73.04 TRY · the 78.10 TRY price screens above the 49.95 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., (FROTO) currently trades at 78.10 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.95 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., generated revenue of 775B TRY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at 97.1B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 36.74 TRY (bear case) to 73.04 TRY (bull case); at 78.10 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -36%, FROTO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (413.43 TRY) versus Asset-Based (29.79 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, assembly, production, import, and sale of motor vehicles and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. The company offers passenger car models, light commercial vehicles, and heavy commercial vehicles, as well as diesel engines and powertrains under the Ford brand name.
Full company description
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, assembly, production, import, and sale of motor vehicles and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. The company offers passenger car models, light commercial vehicles, and heavy commercial vehicles, as well as diesel engines and powertrains under the Ford brand name. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S., reported revenue of 831B TRL in FY2025 versus 71.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +84.9%/yr. Reported net income was 34.0B TRL in FY2025, compounding +40.2%/yr from FY2021.
FROTO screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Toyota Motor Corporation →
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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