Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation stock $49.16, price $107, that is 54.0% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
KALU · USOur calculation puts a fair price 54% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.71 – $193.49 · fair‑value band $43.90 – $60.13 · the $106.84 price screens above the $49.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Company profile
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products. It offers flat-rolled plate, sheet, and coil; extruded rod, bar, hollows, and shapes; drawn rod, bar, pipe, tube, and wire; and cast aluminum products.
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The company also offers aero/HS products, such as heat-treated plates and sheets, hard alloy extruded shapes, cold finish rods and bars, and seamless drawn tubes and billets used for end uses in the global aerospace, space, and defense industries, as well as packaging products, including bare and coated 3000 and 5000-series alloy aluminum coils used in beverage and food packaging industry.
In addition, the company provides general engineering products comprising 6000-series aluminum alloy plate, sheet, rod, bar, tube, wire, and standard extruded shapes used in various applications, including the production of armor for military vehicles, ordnances, semiconductor manufacturing cells, electronic devices, power transmission bus pipe and bar, after-market motor sport parts, tooling plates, machinery and equipment parts, bolts, screws, and rivets.
Further, it offers automotive extrusions consisting of 6000-series extruded aluminum products for structural components, crash management systems, anti-lock braking systems, and drawn tubes for drive shafts, as well as offers fabrication services, such as sawing and cutting to length.
The company sells its products directly to aerospace and automotive manufacturers, tier one aerospace and automotive suppliers, beverage and food packaging manufacturers, and metal service centers through sales personnel located in the United States, Canada, and Western Europe.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.
Stock analysis
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) currently trades at $106.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.16, 54% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $111.35 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the $106.84 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $28.83, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $43.90 (bear) to $60.13 (bull), the price of $106.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $2.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $113M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.8B Small · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $12.93 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 24.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −54%, KALU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 16 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
- SaleKeith HarveyPresident & CEO, Director2× since Apr 27, 2026: 50,032 shares, avg. $174.97$8.8MApr 29, 2026
- SaleRichard P. GrimleyDirector1,524 shares at $171.52$261,396Apr 29, 2026
- SaleNeal E WestEVP & CFO2× since Feb 23, 2026: 10,000 shares, avg. $147.51$1.5MApr 28, 2026
- SaleIulian GheorgheSVP - Adv Eng & Innovation175 shares at $174.22$30,489Apr 27, 2026
- SaleJohn Malcolm DonnanEVP, CAO and GC2× since Feb 23, 2026: 21,204 shares, avg. $131.95$2.8MApr 27, 2026
- SaleBrett WilcoxDirector15,000 shares at $174.44$2.6MApr 27, 2026
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Earlier news
- Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates
- Kaiser: Q3 Earnings Snapshot
- Alcoa, Kaiser Aluminum started Overweight at Barclays in a positive near-term aluminum outlook
- Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend Payment
Compare Kaiser Aluminum Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 83 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Price/FCF by industry
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$20.40 | HK$30.16 | +48% | vs KALU |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.26 | ¥32.01 | +27% | vs KALU |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 6.85 MYR | 7.54 MYR | +10% | vs KALU |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹958.40 | ₹1,026 | +7% | vs KALU |
| Alcoa Corporation AA | $39.54 | $39.73 | +0% | vs KALU |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 68.38 | kr 66.35 | −3% | vs KALU |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥12.04 | ¥11.42 | −5% | vs KALU |
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥14.72 | ¥8.12 | −45% | vs KALU |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥24.87 | ¥13.49 | −46% | vs KALU |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.59 | ¥4.16 | −52% | vs KALU |
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Key figures of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
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