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Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nocopi Technologies Inc stock $2.40, price $1.50, upside +60.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US

NT Nocopi Technologies Inc logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Nocopi Technologies Inc

NNUP · US
Undervalued, in an uptrend

The stock costs 38% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $2.40 · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 49% above the price ($2.24).
Quality 55/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −10.9 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Insiders bought $13,560 (6M)
Loss-making · -32.7% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 9/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.40 $1.25 Fair Value $2.40 Feb 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.25 – $4.40 · fair‑value band $2.24 – $2.57 · the $1.50 price screens below the $2.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Nocopi Technologies, Inc. develops and markets specialty reactive inks for applications in the educational and toy products, and document and product authentication industries in North America, Asia, and Australia.

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The company offers entertainment and toy technologies and products, including specialty inks for coloring books, activity kits, play sheets, single use place mats, greeting cards, board games, promotional products, or other paper-based applications; and anti-counterfeiting and anti-diversion technologies and products, such as proprietary document authentication systems for various applications in the authentication of documents having intrinsic value, such as merchandise receipts, checks, travelers' checks, gift certificates, event tickets, and product labeling and packaging.

It also licenses its patented reactive ink technologies. The company serves businesses and brand owners. Nocopi Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) currently trades at $1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $1.64 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $1.50 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.3800, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.24 (bear) to $2.57 (bull), the price of $1.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2003: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2003.

Nocopi Technologies Inc reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2025 versus $2.0M in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$155K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $18.1M Micro · P/S ratio 10.2 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0500 · Net margin −32.7% · Return on equity −4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −59.1% · Revenue (TTM) $2.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 60%, NNUP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.24 Fair Value $2.40 Bull $2.57
Price $1.50 · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $1.61 $1.88 $2.25 82
Growth DCF $1.63 $1.87 $2.19 80
5Y Revenue Exit $1.30 $1.38 $1.48 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.61 $1.88 $2.25 82
5Y Revenue Exit $1.30 $1.38 $1.48 74
10Y Revenue Exit $1.41 $1.51 $1.62 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.3300 $0.3800 $0.4400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7100 $1.08 $1.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.63 $1.87 $2.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.30 $1.40 $1.50 74

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 52
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 42
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 38
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $13,560, most recently on Sep 11, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyEric SitesDirector2× since Sep 9, 2026: 2,500 shares, avg. $1.86$4,650Sep 11, 2026
  • BuyMatthew C. WingerChief Executive Officer, Director5,200 shares at $1.71$8,910Aug 19, 2026
  • BuyKevin Camerer WestenburgPresident, Director33,333 shares at $1.50$50,000Dec 29, 2025

Plus one other filing such as a grant, option exercise or tax withholding. It is not a market purchase or sale.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2003: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2003.
Revenue growth 1 year
−29.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.0% (2020) → −40.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.8%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.0% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 728 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −32.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −59.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 166.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 9.04× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 25.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.99× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 67
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 263.00 TWD 420.80 TWD +60% vs NNUP
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥72.65 ¥68.03 −6% vs NNUP
Linde plc LIN $515.25 $446.62 −13% vs NNUP
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $122.38 $77.68 −37% vs NNUP
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 100.50 CHF 57.70 −43% vs NNUP
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $344.10 $146.37 −57% vs NNUP
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,054 CHF 1,554 −62% vs NNUP
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 848.50 CHF 284.63 −66% vs NNUP
Ecolab Inc ECL $300.68 $96.56 −68% vs NNUP
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $304.84 $75.33 −75% vs NNUP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nocopi Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NNUP

Frequently asked questions

Is Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.40 versus a price of $1.50, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NNUP?
Our model-based fair value for Nocopi Technologies Inc is $2.40 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.50.
What is the quality score of NNUP?
Nocopi Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.40 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.24, optimistic scenario $2.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nocopi Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.40, about +60% upside versus a price of $1.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.24, optimistic scenario $2.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Nocopi Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nocopi Technologies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -5.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NNUP use?
Our models discount Nocopi Technologies Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nocopi Technologies Inc that is -5.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nocopi Technologies Inc grew -10.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -5.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nocopi Technologies Inc (-5.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.39 %: that much free cash flow Nocopi Technologies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nocopi Technologies Inc it is $2.40 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $1.50. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Nocopi Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, NNUP trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.50, fair value $2.40, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NNUP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.40). For Nocopi Technologies Inc the two are $0.9000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nocopi Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Nocopi Technologies Inc at about $18.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $1.50; our models calculate a fair value of $2.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NNUP?
Our models span a range for Nocopi Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $2.24, base $2.40, optimistic $2.57 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $1.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NNUP?
The PEG ratio of Nocopi Technologies Inc is 0.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nocopi Technologies Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NNUP from its 52-week high?
Nocopi Technologies Inc trades at $1.50, about 24% below its 52-week high of $1.97 and 7% above the low of $1.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nocopi Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nocopi Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $1.50, calculated fair value $2.40 (+60%), Quality Score 55/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NNUP calculated?
We run Nocopi Technologies Inc through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Nocopi Technologies Inc currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.50. Our model-based fair value is $2.40, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nocopi Technologies Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band ($2.24 to $2.57), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Nocopi Technologies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The market capitalisation of Nocopi Technologies Inc is $18.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nocopi Technologies Inc is 10.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Earnings per share at Nocopi Technologies Inc are $−0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The net margin of Nocopi Technologies Inc is −32.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nocopi Technologies Inc is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nocopi Technologies Inc is −3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
The operating margin of Nocopi Technologies Inc is −59.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Revenue at Nocopi Technologies Inc is growing +167% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP)?
Earnings per share at Nocopi Technologies Inc are growing +167% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nocopi Technologies Inc (NNUP) hold?
Nocopi Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, $2.3M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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