Regis Corporation (RGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Regis Corporation stock $46.86, price $24.07, upside +94.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.15 – $157.00 · fair‑value band $35.14 – $59.25 · the $24.07 price screens below the $46.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Regis Corporation Common Stock in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Regis Corporation Common Stock is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Regis Corporation owns and franchises hair care salons primarily in North America. The company operates in two segments, Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons.
Show moreShow less
Its salons provide haircutting; styling, including shampooing and conditioning; and hair coloring, as well as sell various hair care and other beauty products.
The company operates its salons primarily under the Supercuts, SmartStyle, Cost Cutters, First Choice Haircutters, Roosters, Hair Masters, Magicuts, Holiday Hair, and Regis concepts names. Regis Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Stock analysis
Regis Corporation (RGS) currently trades at $24.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.86, implying the stock looks roughly 49% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $62.75 per share, and 18 of the 21 models we run sit above the $24.07 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $24.87, and 3 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $35.14 (bear) to $59.25 (bull), the price of $24.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Regis Corporation Common Stock reported revenue of $224M in FY2026 versus $276M in FY2022, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $69.3M Micro · P/E ratio 11.4 · P/S ratio 0.32 · EPS (TTM) $2.11 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 95%, RGS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$35.14Fair Value $46.86Bull$59.25
Price $24.07 · Upside +94.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7573 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleMichael J MerrimanDirector500 shares at $28.00$14,000Dec 17, 2025
Plus 14 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −18.8% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−62.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−62.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−23% → 11%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 19.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.2% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Regis Corporation Common Stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Personal Services · 38 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+94.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.2% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−7.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regis Corporation Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RGS
Frequently asked questions
Is Regis Corporation (RGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.86 versus a price of $24.07, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RGS?
Our model-based fair value for Regis Corporation is $46.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $24.07.
What is the quality score of RGS?
Regis Corporation has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $46.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $35.14, optimistic scenario $59.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Regis Corporation Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $46.86, about +95% upside versus a price of $24.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $35.14, optimistic scenario $59.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Regis Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $220M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Regis Corporation (RGS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Regis Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +12.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.4 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RGS use?
Our models discount Regis Corporation at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Regis Corporation that is +12.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Regis Corporation (RGS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Regis Corporation grew -11.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Regis Corporation (RGS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Regis Corporation (+12.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.06 %: that much free cash flow Regis Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Regis Corporation it is $46.86 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $24.07. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Regis Corporation Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, RGS trades below its calculated fair value: price $24.07, fair value $46.86, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($24.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($46.86). For Regis Corporation the two are $22.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Regis Corporation Common Stock worth?
The market values Regis Corporation at about $69.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $24.07; our models calculate a fair value of $46.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RGS?
Our models span a range for Regis Corporation: cautious scenario $35.14, base $46.86, optimistic $59.25 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $24.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RGS?
Regis Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $46.86 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 11.9 (reported for FY2026: 10.0). Other multiples: PEG 8.7, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.6.
What is the PEG ratio of RGS?
The PEG ratio of Regis Corporation is 8.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Regis Corporation (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RGS from its 52-week high?
Regis Corporation trades at $24.07, about 24% below its 52-week high of $31.77 and 24% above the low of $19.47 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $46.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Regis Corporation Common Stock?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Rollins, Inc, Service Corporation, Frontdoor, Inc, H&R Block, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Regis Corporation Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $24.07, calculated fair value $46.86 (+95%), Quality Score 42/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RGS calculated?
We run Regis Corporation through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $46.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Regis Corporation currently trades 49% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $24.07. Our model-based fair value is $46.86, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Regis Corporation Common Stock right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Regis Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The market capitalisation of Regis Corporation is $69.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Regis Corporation is 0.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Earnings per share at Regis Corporation are $2.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The net margin of Regis Corporation is 2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Regis Corporation is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Regis Corporation is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Regis Corporation (RGS)?
The operating margin of Regis Corporation is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Revenue at Regis Corporation is growing −7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Regis Corporation (RGS)?
Earnings per share at Regis Corporation are growing −63.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Regis Corporation (RGS) carry?
The net debt of Regis Corporation is $275M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 24.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Regis Corporation Common Stock in the live analysis
One click puts Regis Corporation Common Stock on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 8, 2026