Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Regis Corporation Common Stock $59.62, price $27.00, upside +120.8%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.15 – $195.40 · fair‑value band $44.83 – $81.16 · the $27.00 price screens below the $59.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Regis Corporation owns and franchises hair care salons primarily in North America. The company operates in two segments, Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons. Its salons provide haircutting; styling, including shampooing and conditioning; and hair coloring, as well as sell various hair care and other beauty products.
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Regis Corporation owns and franchises hair care salons primarily in North America. The company operates in two segments, Franchise Salons and Company-Owned Salons. Its salons provide haircutting; styling, including shampooing and conditioning; and hair coloring, as well as sell various hair care and other beauty products. The company operates its salons primarily under the Supercuts, SmartStyle, Cost Cutters, First Choice Haircutters, Roosters, Hair Masters, Magicuts, Holiday Hair, and Regis concepts names. Regis Corporation was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Stock analysis
Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) currently trades at $27.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $59.62, implying the stock looks roughly 54.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $100.91 per share, and 22 of the 22 models we run sit above the $27.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $27.64, and 0 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $44.83 (bear) to $81.16 (bull), the price of $27.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Regis Corporation Common Stock reported revenue of $210M in FY2025 versus $412M in FY2021, a compound −15.5%/yr. Reported net income was $124M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $72.4M · P/E ratio 0.6 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $44.92 · Net margin 58.8% · Return on equity 93.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin 10.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 121%, RGS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $44.83Fair Value $59.62Bull $81.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($44.92 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.4% (2020) → 9.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.9% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Personal Services · 42 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+121% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)94% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)52% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Personal Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)0.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.39× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Regis Corporation Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RGS
Frequently asked questions
Is Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $59.62 versus a price of $27.00, about +121% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RGS?
Our model-based fair value for Regis Corporation Common Stock is $59.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $27.00.
What is the quality score of RGS?
Regis Corporation Common Stock has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $59.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $44.83, optimistic scenario $81.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Regis Corporation Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $59.62, about +121% upside versus a price of $27.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $44.83, optimistic scenario $81.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Regis Corporation Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $229M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Regis Corporation Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +8.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -20.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RGS use?
Our models discount Regis Corporation Common Stock at 13.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Regis Corporation Common Stock that is +8.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Regis Corporation Common Stock grew -20.7 % a year. The price currently implies +8.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Regis Corporation Common Stock (+8.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.20 %: that much free cash flow Regis Corporation Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Regis Corporation Common Stock it is $59.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $27.00. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Regis Corporation Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, RGS trades below its calculated fair value: price $27.00, fair value $59.62, a gap of about +121% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($59.62). For Regis Corporation Common Stock the two are $32.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Regis Corporation Common Stock worth?
The market values Regis Corporation Common Stock at about $72.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $27.00; our models calculate a fair value of $59.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RGS?
Our models span a range for Regis Corporation Common Stock: cautious scenario $44.83, base $59.62, optimistic $81.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $27.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RGS?
Regis Corporation Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $59.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 8.7, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
What is the PEG ratio of RGS?
The PEG ratio of Regis Corporation Common Stock is 8.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Regis Corporation Common Stock (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 93.7%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RGS from its 52-week high?
Regis Corporation Common Stock trades at $27.00, about 14% below its 52-week high of $31.50 and 48% above the low of $18.20 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $59.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Regis Corporation Common Stock?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Rollins, Inc, Service Corporation, Frontdoor, Inc, H&R Block, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Regis Corporation Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $27.00, calculated fair value $59.62 (+121%), Quality Score 47/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RGS calculated?
We run Regis Corporation Common Stock through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $59.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Regis Corporation Common Stock currently trades 121 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $27.00. Our model-based fair value is $59.62, about +121% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Regis Corporation Common Stock right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($44.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($44.83 to $81.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Regis Corporation Common Stock
How large is the market capitalisation of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The market capitalisation of Regis Corporation Common Stock is $72.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Regis Corporation Common Stock is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Earnings per share at Regis Corporation Common Stock are $44.92 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The net margin of Regis Corporation Common Stock is 58.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Regis Corporation Common Stock is 93.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Regis Corporation Common Stock is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
The operating margin of Regis Corporation Common Stock is 10.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Revenue at Regis Corporation Common Stock is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS)?
Earnings per share at Regis Corporation Common Stock are growing +225% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Regis Corporation Common Stock (RGS) carry?
The net debt of Regis Corporation Common Stock is $316M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 25.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026