Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock BRL 9.29, price BRL 6.05, upside +53.6%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$4.98 – R$16.94 · fair‑value band R$6.50 – R$10.57 · the R$6.05 price screens below the R$9.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Boa Safra Sementes S.A. produces and sells soybean seeds in Brazil. It also offers corn and bean seeds. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Formosa, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) currently trades at R$6.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$9.29, implying the stock looks roughly 35% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of R$7.49 per share, and 4 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$6.05 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$1.05, and 11 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: R$6.50 (bear) to R$10.57 (bull), the price of R$6.05 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Boa Safra Sementes S.A reported revenue of R$2.6B in FY2025 versus R$1.0B in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was R$20.0M in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$973M (≈ $177M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) R$−0.0200 · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 32.4% · Revenue (TTM) R$2.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 54%, SOJA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearR$6.50Fair Value R$9.29BullR$10.57
Price R$6.05 · Upside +53.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual IncomeR$4.82R$5.16R$5.6474
Owner EarningsR$1.44R$3.57R$7.1068
Gordon GGMR$0.6700R$1.06R$1.3167
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner EarningsR$1.44R$3.57R$7.1068
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddR$0.9600R$6.72R$9.4461
Lynch FVR$3.47R$4.96R$6.4559
PEG = 1.0R$3.47R$4.96R$6.4555
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMR$0.6700R$1.06R$1.3167
DDM Multi-StageR$0.6700R$1.03R$1.1465
Multiples
P/E MultipleR$1.81R$2.41R$3.0163
P/S MultipleR$1.81R$2.41R$3.0157
P/B MultipleR$21.06R$28.08R$35.1055
EV/EBITR$0.2400R$0.6900R$1.1460
EV/EBITDAR$0.2700R$0.7300R$1.1862
EV/RevenueR$0.0600R$0.5600R$1.0646
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)R$4.95R$7.49R$9.3754
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeR$4.82R$5.16R$5.6474
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/ER$4.27R$6.11R$7.9465
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−26.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 162 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+53.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets2.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)32.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)23.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.94× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$9.29 versus a price of R$6.05, about +54% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOJA3?
Our model-based fair value for Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$9.29 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$6.05.
What is the quality score of SOJA3?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$9.29 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$6.50, optimistic scenario R$10.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$9.29, about +54% upside versus a price of R$6.05 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$6.50, optimistic scenario R$10.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$2.7B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boa Safra Sementes S.A it is R$9.29 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of R$6.05. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SOJA3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$6.05, fair value R$9.29, a gap of about +54% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOJA3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$6.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$9.29). For Boa Safra Sementes S.A the two are R$3.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boa Safra Sementes S.A worth?
The market values Boa Safra Sementes S.A at about R$973M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is R$6.05; our models calculate a fair value of R$9.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOJA3?
Our models span a range for Boa Safra Sementes S.A: cautious scenario R$6.50, base R$9.29, optimistic R$10.57 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price R$6.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boa Safra Sementes S.A (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOJA3 from its 52-week high?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A trades at R$6.05, about 42% below its 52-week high of R$10.45 and 21% above the low of R$4.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$9.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boa Safra Sementes S.A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, Yara International ASA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price R$6.05, calculated fair value R$9.29 (+54%), Quality Score 34/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOJA3 calculated?
We run Boa Safra Sementes S.A through 15 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of R$9.29 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Boa Safra Sementes S.A currently trades 35% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was R$6.05. Our model-based fair value is R$9.29, about +54% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boa Safra Sementes S.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$6.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Boa Safra Sementes S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The market capitalisation of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$973M (≈ $177M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Earnings per share at Boa Safra Sementes S.A are R$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The net margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 0.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The operating margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 32.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Revenue at Boa Safra Sementes S.A is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Earnings per share at Boa Safra Sementes S.A are growing −31.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) generate?
The free cash flow of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is −R$97.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) carry?
The net debt of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$791M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026