Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Boa Safra Sementes S.A BRL 9.29, price BRL 7.88, upside +17.9%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$4.98 – R$16.94 · fair‑value band R$8.43 – R$12.09 · the R$7.88 price screens below the R$9.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Boa Safra Sementes S.A. produces and sells soybean seeds in Brazil. It also offers corn and bean seeds. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Formosa, Brazil.
Stock analysis
Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) currently trades at R$7.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$9.29, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$21.29 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the R$7.88 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at R$2.41, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$8.43 (bear) to R$12.09 (bull), the price of R$7.88 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Boa Safra Sementes S.A reported revenue of R$2.6B in FY2025 versus R$1.0B in FY2021, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was R$20.0M in FY2025, compounding −37.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$1.2B (≈ $225M) · P/E ratio 98.5 · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) R$0.0800 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 18%, SOJA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$8.43Fair Value R$9.29Bull R$12.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.0587 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−26.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+18% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.94× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
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Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$9.29 versus a price of R$7.88, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOJA3?
Our model-based fair value for Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$9.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$7.88.
What is the quality score of SOJA3?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$9.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$8.43, optimistic scenario R$12.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$9.29, about +18% upside versus a price of R$7.88 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$8.43, optimistic scenario R$12.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$2.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Boa Safra Sementes S.A it is R$9.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$7.88. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOJA3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$7.88, fair value R$9.29, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOJA3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$7.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$9.29). For Boa Safra Sementes S.A the two are R$1.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Boa Safra Sementes S.A worth?
The market values Boa Safra Sementes S.A at about R$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$7.88; our models calculate a fair value of R$9.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOJA3?
Our models span a range for Boa Safra Sementes S.A: cautious scenario R$8.43, base R$9.29, optimistic R$12.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$7.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOJA3?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 98.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$9.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 13.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Boa Safra Sementes S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOJA3 from its 52-week high?
Boa Safra Sementes S.A trades at R$7.88, about 25% below its 52-week high of R$10.45 and 58% above the low of R$4.98 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$9.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Boa Safra Sementes S.A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Boa Safra Sementes S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$7.88, calculated fair value R$9.29 (+18%), Quality Score 24/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOJA3 calculated?
We run Boa Safra Sementes S.A through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$9.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Boa Safra Sementes S.A currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was R$7.88. Our model-based fair value is R$9.29, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Boa Safra Sementes S.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$8.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits below our cautious bear case: the market assumes less than even our pessimistic scenario. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Boa Safra Sementes S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The market capitalisation of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$1.2B (≈ $225M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 0.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Earnings per share at Boa Safra Sementes S.A are R$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The net margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 0.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
The operating margin of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Revenue at Boa Safra Sementes S.A is growing +20.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3)?
Earnings per share at Boa Safra Sementes S.A are growing +17.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) generate?
The free cash flow of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is −R$97.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Boa Safra Sementes S.A (SOJA3) carry?
The net debt of Boa Safra Sementes S.A is R$791M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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