Hefei Department Store Group (000417) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥4.42 to ¥7.45 (+68.5%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −19.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 25% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥5.94 (bear) to ¥8.67 (bull), base ¥7.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.75 – ¥10.27 · fair‑value band ¥5.94 – ¥8.67 · the ¥5.96 price screens below the ¥7.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Hefei Department Store Group (000417) currently trades at ¥5.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.45, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hefei Department Store Group generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 217M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.94 (bear case) to ¥8.67 (bull case); at ¥5.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 25%, 000417 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.41) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hefei Department Store Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates and trades and markets retail and agricultural products in China.
Full company description
Hefei Department Store Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates and trades and markets retail and agricultural products in China. The company offers department stores, home appliances, supermarket chains, e-commerce, and other sub-formats, under the Jiafu name, electrical appliances stores, cross-border direct sales centers, agricultural product wholesale markets, and standardized vegetable markets. It is also involved in e-commerce and cross-border direct sales, and online and offline integration, as well as domestic and foreign trade combined industrial system services. The company was founded in 1959 and is based in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hefei Department Store Group reported revenue of ¥6.7B in FY2025 versus ¥6.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥160M in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 000417: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 5,875 CLP | 8,880 CLP | +51% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 263.70 MXN | +165% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.70 MYR | 1.45 MYR | -61% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 2,040 CLP | 2,516 CLP | +23% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹113.94 | ₹37.39 | -67% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 610,000 KRW | 200,259 KRW | -67% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 59.59 MXN | +98% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 155,300 KRW | 81,725 KRW | -47% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$14.10 | R$33.36 | +137% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 51.49 MXN | +50% |
Compare Hefei Department Store Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Hefei Department Store Group (000417) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 000417?
What is the quality score of 000417?
What is the revenue of Hefei Department Store Group (000417)?
What is the net profit margin of 000417?
Does Hefei Department Store Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Hefei Department Store Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.