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Hefei Department Store Group (000417) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.6B CNY

Price¥7.74
Fair Value¥4.42
Upside-42.9%
Quality82/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.39 – ¥5.31

Analysis

Hefei Department Store Group (000417) currently trades at ¥7.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.42 — implying the stock looks roughly 42.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Hefei Department Store Group Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates and trades and markets retail and agricultural products in China. The company offers department stores, home appliances, supermarket chains, e-commerce, and other sub-formats, under the Jiafu name, electrical appliances stores, cross-border direct sales centers, agricultural product wholesale markets, and standardized vegetable markets. It is also involved in e-commerce and cross-border direct sales, and online and offline integration, as well as domestic and foreign trade combined industrial system services. The company was founded in 1959 and is based in Hefei, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.