San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co (001317) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥9.52 to ¥10.82 (+13.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +17.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥10.16 to ¥11.38), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range ¥21.23 – ¥104.05 · fair‑value band ¥10.16 – ¥11.38 · the ¥53.10 price screens above the ¥10.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co (001317) currently trades at ¥53.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.82, implying the stock looks roughly 79.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at 155M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.16 (bear case) to ¥11.38 (bull case); at ¥53.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -80%, 001317 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.14) versus Earnings-Based (¥5.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. provides logistics services through combined road and rail transport in China.
Full company description
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. provides logistics services through combined road and rail transport in China. The company offers multimodal transport; supply chain value-added integrated; integrated logistics for complete vehicles and fast-moving consumer goods; in-use vehicle logistics; international logistics; logistics real estate; bulk industrial product sector; and e-commerce logistics services. It also provides general freight; freight forwarding; special transport; automotive manufacturing; business; technology promotion and application; loading, unloading, and warehousing; and professional technical services. The company serves the automotive, beer, beverage, and detergent industries. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Zhongji Automobile Logistics Co.,Ltd and changed its name to San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. in January 2020. San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥923M in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥8.5M in FY2025.
001317 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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