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Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd stock ¥0.92, price ¥4.80, upside -80.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100001286

ZM Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd

002574 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 81% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 40/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.5 %/yr in CNY)
Fair value ¥0.9200 · Strongly overvalued (−80.8%)
Loss-making · -9.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 11/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥8.67 ¥3.72 Fair Value ¥0.9200 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.72 – ¥8.67 · fair‑value band ¥0.4500 – ¥1.38 · the ¥4.80 price screens above the ¥0.9200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, design, production, and sales of precious metals and gemstone jewelry products in Mainland China. The company offers platinum, diamond, and gold jewelry, as well as silver.

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It offers its products through Ming brand, as well as online. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

Stock analysis

Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574) currently trades at ¥4.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.9200, 80.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.91 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥4.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.9200, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.4500 (bear) to ¥1.38 (bull), the price of ¥4.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −360M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $380M) Small · P/S ratio 0.83 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5700 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin −9.5% · Return on equity −10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −81%, 002574 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.4500 Fair Value ¥0.9200 Bull ¥1.38
Price ¥4.80 · Upside -80.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM ¥1.33 ¥1.44 ¥1.61 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.33 ¥1.61 ¥1.97 67
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4500 ¥0.9200 ¥1.38 64
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.33 ¥1.44 ¥1.61 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.33 ¥1.61 ¥1.97 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4500 ¥0.9200 ¥1.38 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.17 ¥2.91 ¥4.35 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 28
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 77
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 73
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 35
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 91
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.6% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.4% (2020) → −4.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002574 screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 121 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −9.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.80× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 26.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.96× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 57
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)66 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 818.00 kr 1,424 +74% vs 002574
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$37.28 HK$61.18 +64% vs 002574
Christian Dior SE CDI €431.20 €552.53 +28% vs 002574
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$10.72 HK$11.97 +12% vs 002574
Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS €1,339 €1,472 +10% vs 002574
Tapestry, Inc TPR $116.24 $109.95 −5% vs 002574
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 175.05 CHF 118.60 −32% vs 002574
Titan Company TITAN ₹4,400 ₹1,487 −66% vs 002574
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹571.00 ₹184.73 −68% vs 002574
Kering SA KER €216.95 €42.26 −81% vs 002574

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002574

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.9200 versus a price of ¥4.80, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002574?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is ¥0.9200 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.80.
What is the quality score of 002574?
Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.9200 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥1.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.9200, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥4.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4500, optimistic scenario ¥1.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd it is ¥0.9200 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ¥4.80. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 002574 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.80, fair value ¥0.9200, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002574?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.9200). For Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd the two are ¥3.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd at about 2.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.9200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002574?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4500, base ¥0.9200, optimistic ¥1.38 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ¥4.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002574?
The PEG ratio of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is 1.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −10.4%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002574 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd trades at ¥4.80, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥7.69 and 17% above the low of ¥4.11 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.9200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Hermès International Société en commandite par actions, Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ¥4.80, calculated fair value ¥0.9200 (−81%), Quality Score 40/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002574 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.9200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥4.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.9200, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥0.4500 to ¥1.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is 2.5B CNY (≈ $380M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is 0.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd are ¥−0.5700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is 3.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is −9.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is −10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd are growing −55.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is −699M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd (002574) carry?
The net debt of Zhejiang Ming Jewelry Co Ltd is 500M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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