Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd (002769) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd ¥1.89, price ¥6.73, upside -71.9%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd
002769 · SHEStructural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.40 – ¥14.21 · fair‑value band ¥1.75 – ¥2.17 · the ¥6.73 price screens above the ¥1.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Guangdong Prolto Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides supply chain management solutions in China and internationally. The company operates global delivery platform; medical service platform; and B2B service platform in line with customer needs in ICT field.
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Guangdong Prolto Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. provides supply chain management solutions in China and internationally. The company operates global delivery platform; medical service platform; and B2B service platform in line with customer needs in ICT field. It also offers financial leasing services; and cross border e-commerce service solutions with import and export product trade, logistics clearance, brand agency and promotion, and supply chain finance and other cross-border e-commerce integrated solutions. It provides international and domestic freight forwarding services; information consulting; asset management; professional contracting of mechanical and electrical equipment installation projects; mechanical and electrical equipment installation services; and liquid and air-cooled energy storage power station system, and small liquid-cooled energy units. The company is also involved in the investment and operation of industrial and commercial energy storage power station projects; investment and operation of independent energy storage power stations; sales of automobiles; wholesale and retail of steel; wholesale of building materials and decorative materials, and metal products; and sales of computer software and hardware, communication products, electronic products, electronic components, integrated circuits, and household appliances. In addition, it engages in production and operation of medical devices; food circulation, including packaged foods and health foods; wholesale of agricultural and sideline products, and pre-packaged foods; sells nickel sulfide, nickel hydroxide, and cobalt hydroxide; commission agency; and special equipment repair. Further, the company is involved in the investment, construction, and operation of distributed photovoltaic projects, electricity market-based trading, and comprehensive energy services. Guangdong Prolto Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd (002769) currently trades at ¥6.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.89, implying the stock looks roughly 255.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.12 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥6.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.2100, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.75 (bear) to ¥2.17 (bull), the price of ¥6.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd reported revenue of 225M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −45.6%/yr. Reported net income was 32.8M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $412M) · P/E ratio 336.5 · P/S ratio 49.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 14.6% · Return on equity −0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −72%, 002769 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 17 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
002769 screens 256% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Compare Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $95.82 | $107.84 | +13% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $291.50 | $347.68 | +19% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €56.48 | €136.05 | +141% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,235 | kr 712.57 | −42% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 228.10 | CHF 147.92 | −35% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $234.63 | $133.80 | −43% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥30.94 | ¥106.04 | +243% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $149.67 | $86.56 | −42% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $188.03 | $115.95 | −38% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$155.70 | HK$260.98 | +68% |
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Key figures of Shenzhen Prolto Supply Chain Management Co Ltd
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