KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what KCTC Co. Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,420 KRW – 9,246 KRW · fair‑value band 6,647 KRW – 12,739 KRW · the 4,070 KRW price screens below the 9,799 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
KCTC Co. Ltd operates as a logistics company in South Korea and internationally.
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KCTC Co. Ltd operates as a logistics company in South Korea and internationally. It offers container transportation services, including overland road and railroad transportation services; freight information and location monitoring services; roll on and roll off loading and unloading services; and CY/CFS services, as well as logistics services for bulk cargoes and oversized heavy cargoes. The company also provides logistics consulting services; logistics services for imports and exports; nationwide b2b transport and delivery services; specialized services for alcoholic beverages and dangerous goods; distribution center operation management services; international express services; and bulk stevedoring and bulk cargo transportation services. In addition, it offers terminal operation and warehouse services. The company was formerly known as Korea Container Terminal Co. Ltd. and changed its name to KCTC Co. Ltd in March 2002. KCTC Co. Ltd was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) currently trades at 4,070 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,799 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 15,558 KRW per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the 4,070 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7,025 KRW, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 6,647 KRW (bear) to 12,739 KRW (bull), the price of 4,070 KRW sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
KCTC Co. Ltd reported revenue of 987B KRW in FY2025 versus 695B KRW in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 21.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 122B KRW (≈ $85.5M) · P/S ratio 0.11 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% · Operating margin 4.4% · Revenue (TTM) 1.0T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 141%, 009070 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6,647 KRWFair Value 9,799 KRWBull 12,739 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 202 stocks
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Is KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,799 KRW versus a price of 4,070 KRW, about +141% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 009070?
Our model-based fair value for KCTC Co. Ltd is 9,799 KRW (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,070 KRW.
What is the quality score of 009070?
KCTC Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9,799 KRW (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6,647 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,739 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KCTC Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9,799 KRW, about +141% upside versus a price of 4,070 KRW (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6,647 KRW, optimistic scenario 12,739 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
KCTC Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does KCTC Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
KCTC Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KCTC Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 009070 use?
Our models discount KCTC Co. Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.05, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KCTC Co. Ltd that is +17.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KCTC Co. Ltd grew +15.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KCTC Co. Ltd (+17.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.15 %: that much free cash flow KCTC Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KCTC Co. Ltd it is 9,799 KRW per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 4,070 KRW. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KCTC Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 009070 trades below its calculated fair value: price 4,070 KRW, fair value 9,799 KRW, a gap of about +141% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 009070?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,070 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9,799 KRW). For KCTC Co. Ltd the two are 5,729 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KCTC Co. Ltd worth?
The market values KCTC Co. Ltd at about 122B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 4,070 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 9,799 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 009070?
Our models span a range for KCTC Co. Ltd: cautious scenario 6,647 KRW, base 9,799 KRW, optimistic 12,739 KRW per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 4,070 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
Balance-sheet figures for KCTC Co. Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 8.6%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 009070 from its 52-week high?
KCTC Co. Ltd trades at 4,070 KRW, about 51% below its 52-week high of 8,390 KRW and 2% above the low of 3,971 KRW (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9,799 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KCTC Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KCTC Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 4,070 KRW, calculated fair value 9,799 KRW (+141%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 009070 calculated?
We run KCTC Co. Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9,799 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. KCTC Co. Ltd currently trades 141 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was 4,070 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 9,799 KRW, about +141% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KCTC Co. Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,647 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (6,647 KRW to 12,739 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of KCTC Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The market capitalisation of KCTC Co. Ltd is 122B KRW (≈ $85.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KCTC Co. Ltd is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The dividend yield of KCTC Co. Ltd is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The net margin of KCTC Co. Ltd is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KCTC Co. Ltd is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KCTC Co. Ltd is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
The operating margin of KCTC Co. Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
Revenue at KCTC Co. Ltd is growing +19.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KCTC Co. Ltd (009070)?
Earnings per share at KCTC Co. Ltd are growing +96.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does KCTC Co. Ltd (009070) carry?
The net debt of KCTC Co. Ltd is 171B KRW (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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