Kukdong Oil & (014530) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Kukdong Oil & KRW 1,107, price KRW 3,270, upside -66.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 1,107 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−66%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +10.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·6.12% dividend yield
!Trails peers(2/10)
!Narrow moat19/100
!Insider activity40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2,670 KRW – 5,990 KRW · fair‑value band 829.96 KRW – 1,383 KRW · the 3,270 KRW price screens above the 1,107 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kukdong Oil & Chemicals Co.,Ltd develops, manufactures, and supplies various lubricant products primarily in South Korea.
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Kukdong Oil & Chemicals Co.,Ltd develops, manufactures, and supplies various lubricant products primarily in South Korea. It offers industrial lubricants, such as machine oil, gear oil, hydraulic oil, air compressor oil, heat transfer oil, refrigeration oil, grease, insulating oil, and other oils; non water and water-soluble oil, plastic processing oil, anti rust oil, and cleanser oil; paraffin oil, naphthenic oil, and aromatic oil; liquid paraffin for food additive, cosmetic, and general industrial uses. The company also operates LPG charging stations and gas stations; distributes lubricants under the BP, Castrol, Optimol, and Tribol brands, as well as supplies petroleum to affiliated gas stations and business partners. It exports its products to approximately 20 countries worldwide. Kukdong Oil & Chemicals Co.,Ltd was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Yangsan-si, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Kukdong Oil & (014530) currently trades at 3,270 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,107 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 195.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 3,945 KRW per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the 3,270 KRW price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 185.52 KRW, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 829.96 KRW (bear) to 1,383 KRW (bull), the price of 3,270 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Kukdong Oil & reported revenue of 1.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 965B KRW in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B KRW in FY2025, compounding −43.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 110B KRW (≈ $80.9M) · P/S ratio 0.11 · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% · Operating margin 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) 1.0T KRW.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −66%, 014530 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (185.52 KRW to 6,653 KRW). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 829.96 KRWFair Value 1,107 KRWBull 1,383 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−30.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 712 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−66% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA0.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)4· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Kukdong Oil & (014530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,107 KRW versus a price of 3,270 KRW, about −66% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 014530?
Our model-based fair value for Kukdong Oil & is 1,107 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,270 KRW.
What is the quality score of 014530?
Kukdong Oil & has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,107 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 829.96 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,383 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kukdong Oil & stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,107 KRW, about −66% upside versus a price of 3,270 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 829.96 KRW, optimistic scenario 1,383 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Kukdong Oil & reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kukdong Oil & pay a dividend?
Kukdong Oil & currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kukdong Oil & it is 1,107 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3,270 KRW. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kukdong Oil & stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 014530 trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,270 KRW, fair value 1,107 KRW, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 014530?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,270 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,107 KRW). For Kukdong Oil & the two are 2,163 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kukdong Oil & worth?
The market values Kukdong Oil & at about 110B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3,270 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 1,107 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 014530?
Our models span a range for Kukdong Oil &: cautious scenario 829.96 KRW, base 1,107 KRW, optimistic 1,383 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3,270 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kukdong Oil & (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 014530 from its 52-week high?
Kukdong Oil & trades at 3,270 KRW, about 45% below its 52-week high of 5,990 KRW and 10% above the low of 2,984 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,107 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kukdong Oil &?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kukdong Oil & stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3,270 KRW, calculated fair value 1,107 KRW (−66%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 014530 calculated?
We run Kukdong Oil & through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,107 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kukdong Oil & itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 3,270 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 1,107 KRW, about −66% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kukdong Oil & right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,383 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Kukdong Oil &
How large is the market capitalisation of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The market capitalisation of Kukdong Oil & is 110B KRW (≈ $80.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kukdong Oil & is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The dividend yield of Kukdong Oil & is 6.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The net margin of Kukdong Oil & is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kukdong Oil & is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kukdong Oil & is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
The operating margin of Kukdong Oil & is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Revenue at Kukdong Oil & is growing +0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kukdong Oil & (014530)?
Earnings per share at Kukdong Oil & are growing +83.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kukdong Oil & (014530) generate?
The free cash flow of Kukdong Oil & is −2.6B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kukdong Oil & (014530) carry?
The net debt of Kukdong Oil & is 201B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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