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Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (0417) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$177M

TS Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited 0417 · HK
PriceHK$0.7500
Fair ValueHK$0.4550
Upside-39.3%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2518 – HK$0.6582 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.4546 to HK$0.4550 (+0.1%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +4.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6582). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2518 to HK$0.6582). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.15 HK$0.5600 Fair Value HK$0.4550 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5600 – HK$2.15 · fair‑value band HK$0.2518 – HK$0.6582 · the HK$0.7500 price screens above the HK$0.4550 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (0417) currently trades at HK$0.7500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4550, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of -12.0%. Revenue declined 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -43.8%. Net debt stands at HK$677M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2518 (bear case) to HK$0.6582 (bull case); at HK$0.7500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -39%, 0417 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$6.60 HK$8.08 HK$10.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.03 HK$8.42 HK$11.38 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7100 HK$0.9500 HK$1.42 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$6.45 HK$8.02 HK$10.57 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$6.03 HK$8.24 HK$11.46 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$6.09 HK$7.58 HK$9.14 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$6.12 HK$8.59 HK$11.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7100 HK$0.9500 HK$1.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.60 HK$8.08 HK$10.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.03 HK$8.42 HK$11.38 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$8.59) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.9500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.3%
Net margin -12.0%
Return on equity -43.8%
Free cash flow HK$210M FY2025
Operating margin -1.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.7600
EPS growth (YoY) -28.7%
Net debt HK$677M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, and markets jewelry products in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, and internationally. The company operates through Retail Business, Wholesale Business, E-Business, and Other Businesses segments.

Full company description

Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, sells, and markets jewelry products in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, and internationally. The company operates through Retail Business, Wholesale Business, E-Business, and Other Businesses segments. It is involved in the manufacturing, distributing, and franchising jewelry; sale of jewelry products through e-commerce platforms; and property holding and investment businesses. The company also engages in trademarks holding and investment; cash management; and management and administrative services, as well as involved in logistic and supply chain management activities. In addition, it offers rings earrings, necklaces and pendants, bracelets, bangles, charms, and men's jewelries. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Hung Hom, Hong Kong. Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited is a subsidiary of Partner Logistics Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$2.6B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$198M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.7B
Latest YoY
−35.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Revenue −10.3%/yr
FY21 HK$2.6B
FY22 HK$2.8B
FY23 HK$2.6B
FY24 HK$2.7B
FY25 HK$1.7B
Net income
FY21 −HK$44.1M
FY22 HK$15.5M
FY23 −HK$71.5M
FY24 −HK$374M
FY25 −HK$198M

0417 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0417

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 40
HEALTH 94 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 193.70 CHF 119.08 -39%
Christian Dior SE DIO €423.60 €1,095 +159%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 771.40 kr 1,424 +85%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹596.70 ₹238.57 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (0417) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4550 versus a price of HK$0.7500, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0417?
Our model-based fair value for Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited is HK$0.4550 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7500.
What is the quality score of 0417?
Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (0417)?
Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0417?
The net profit margin of Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited is about -12.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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