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AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co (0984) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$55.9M

AS AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co 0984 · HK
PriceHK$0.2350
Fair ValueHK$0.2723
Upside+15.9%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -4.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.2723 – HK$0.5898 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2721 to HK$0.2723 (+0.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +3.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2723). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2723 to HK$0.5898) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.12 HK$0.2100 Fair Value HK$0.2723 May 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2100 – HK$2.12 · fair‑value band HK$0.2723 – HK$0.5898 · the HK$0.2350 price screens below the HK$0.2723 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co (0984) currently trades at HK$0.2350, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2723, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co generated revenue of HK$7.9B at a net margin of -4.1%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2723 (bear case) to HK$0.5898 (bull case); at HK$0.2350, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 16%, 0984 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.2765 HK$0.3291 HK$0.4161 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2886 HK$0.4047 HK$0.5523 74
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2105 HK$0.2723 HK$0.3339 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2715 HK$0.3269 HK$0.4269 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.1907 HK$0.2280 HK$0.2950 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2886 HK$0.3980 HK$0.5625 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2254 HK$0.2907 HK$0.3810 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2728 HK$0.3554 HK$0.4476 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2456 HK$0.2954 HK$0.3483 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.2105 HK$0.2723 HK$0.3339 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.3270 HK$0.4562 HK$0.5854 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2765 HK$0.3291 HK$0.4161 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2886 HK$0.4047 HK$0.5523 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.3291) versus Multiples (HK$0.2723). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$7.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.4%
Net margin -4.1%
Return on equity -5,044%
Free cash flow HK$538M FY2025
Operating margin -1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.8400
Net debt HK$3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co., Limited operates retail stores in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company offers a range of daily use products, including food, fashion products, household items, and electrical appliances; products imported from Japan, such as kitchen utensils, stationery, glassware, home decoration, beauty and personal care, holiday …

Full company description

AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co., Limited operates retail stores in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company offers a range of daily use products, including food, fashion products, household items, and electrical appliances; products imported from Japan, such as kitchen utensils, stationery, glassware, home decoration, beauty and personal care, holiday decorations, and other products; food and beverages; cosmetics, skin care, and personal care products; health and pharmaceuticals products; breads, pancakes, desserts, and other food delicacies; and functional underwear, loungewear, and casual wear products. It also operates coffee shops, bakeries; and amusement centers, as well as AEON app, an online shopping store. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong. AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co., Limited operates as a subsidiary of AEON Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co reported revenue of HK$7.8B in FY2025 versus HK$9.6B in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$324M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$7.8B
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Revenue −5.0%/yr
FY21 HK$9.6B
FY22 HK$9.6B
FY23 HK$8.7B
FY24 HK$8.2B
FY25 HK$7.8B
Net income
FY21 −HK$470M
FY22 −HK$220M
FY23 −HK$189M
FY24 −HK$338M
FY25 −HK$324M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0984

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 220.59 MXN +121%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR -56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 -72%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 399,000 KRW 177,841 KRW -55%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 54.64 MXN +82%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 97,300 KRW 76,636 KRW -21%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 44.99 MXN +31%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$11.74 R$33.36 +184%

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Frequently asked questions

Is AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co (0984) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2723 versus a price of HK$0.2350, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0984?
Our model-based fair value for AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co is HK$0.2723 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2350.
What is the quality score of 0984?
AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co (0984)?
AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0984?
The net profit margin of AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co is about -4.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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