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Luxxu Group (1327) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$331M

LG Luxxu Group 1327 · HK
PriceHK$1.66
Fair ValueHK$0.8600
Upside-48.2%
Quality64/100
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -51.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4700 – HK$1.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.1100 to HK$0.8600 (+681.8%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +25.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.4700 to HK$1.33). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.78 HK$0.1500 Fair Value HK$0.8600 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1500 – HK$1.78 · fair‑value band HK$0.4700 – HK$1.33 · the HK$1.66 price screens above the HK$0.8600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Luxxu Group (1327) currently trades at HK$1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8600, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Luxxu Group generated revenue of HK$42.1M at a net margin of -51.6%. Revenue grew 184.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -74.5%. Net debt stands at HK$20.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4700 (bear case) to HK$1.33 (bull case); at HK$1.66, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at -48%, 1327 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.3909 HK$0.6255 HK$0.9382 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3909 HK$0.7818 HK$1.25 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3909 HK$0.4691 HK$0.7036 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.3127 HK$0.6255 HK$1.02 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3909 HK$0.7036 HK$1.25 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3127 HK$0.5473 HK$0.8600 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.4691 HK$0.8600 HK$1.25 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.3909 HK$0.4691 HK$0.7036 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.3909 HK$0.6255 HK$0.9382 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3909 HK$0.7818 HK$1.25 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.8600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.4691). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$42.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +185%
Net margin -51.6%
Return on equity -74.5%
Free cash flow HK$3.3M FY2025
Operating margin -108%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0400
Net debt HK$20.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Luxxu Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, trades in, retails, and sells watches and jewelries in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers diamond watches, tourbillon, OEM, and third-party watches, as well as luxury jewelry accessories.

Full company description

Luxxu Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures, trades in, retails, and sells watches and jewelries in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company offers diamond watches, tourbillon, OEM, and third-party watches, as well as luxury jewelry accessories. It also designs and sells prestige and high-end watches and accessories; organizes exhibitions; and designs, produces, and assembles watches for its OEM customers. The company sells its products under the LUXXU brand name. The company was formerly known as Time2u International Holding Limited and changed its name to Luxxu Group Limited in August 2019. Luxxu Group Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Luxxu Group reported revenue of HK$42.1M in FY2025 versus HK$70.7M in FY2021, a compound −12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$21.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$42.1M
Latest YoY
+43.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
−13.7%
Revenue −12.2%/yr
FY21 HK$70.7M
FY22 HK$64.4M
FY23 HK$31.7M
FY24 HK$29.4M
FY25 HK$42.1M
Net income
FY21 −HK$43.9M
FY22 −HK$48.2M
FY23 −HK$39.5M
FY24 −HK$52.0M
FY25 −HK$21.7M

1327 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luxxu Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1327

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 135 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on assets -28% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -52% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -108% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 185% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.00× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 50
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 59 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$360.60 HK$667.35 +85%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Luxxu Group (1327) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8600 versus a price of HK$1.66, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1327?
Our model-based fair value for Luxxu Group is HK$0.8600 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.66.
What is the quality score of 1327?
Luxxu Group has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Luxxu Group (1327)?
Luxxu Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$42.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1327?
The net profit margin of Luxxu Group is about -51.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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