Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Victory New Materials Ltd Co TWD 2.94, price TWD 5.24, upside -43.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.02 TWD – 14.10 TWD · fair‑value band 1.94 TWD – 3.67 TWD · the 5.24 TWD price screens above the 2.94 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Victory New Materials Limited Company manufactures and sells shoe materials in China and internationally.
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Victory New Materials Limited Company manufactures and sells shoe materials in China and internationally. The company offers secondary molding soles, one injection soles, one injection monochrome slippers, injected styrofoam plastic molding soles, one injection dual color soles, one injection dual color finished shoes, RB soles, EVO plastic particles, and toys. Victory New Materials Limited Company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Jinjiang, China.
Stock analysis
Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) currently trades at 5.24 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.94 TWD, 43.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 1.94 TWD (bear) to 3.67 TWD (bull), the price of 5.24 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Victory New Materials Ltd Co reported revenue of 42.4M TWD in FY2025 versus 651M TWD in FY2021, a compound −49.5%/yr. Reported net income was −398M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 800M TWD (≈ $25.1M) · P/S ratio 19.5 · EPS (TTM) −2.36 TWD · Return on equity −13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.9% · Operating margin −377% · Revenue (TTM) 40.6M TWD · Revenue growth (YoY) −13.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at −44%, 1340 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.94 TWDFair Value 2.94 TWDBull 3.67 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−88.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−56.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−42.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −35.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−59.7% (2020) → −334.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−43.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.62× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Victory New Materials Ltd Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1340
Frequently asked questions
Is Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.94 TWD versus a price of 5.24 TWD, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1340?
Our model-based fair value for Victory New Materials Ltd Co is 2.94 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.24 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1340?
Victory New Materials Ltd Co has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.94 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.94 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.67 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Victory New Materials Ltd Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.94 TWD, about −44% upside versus a price of 5.24 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.94 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.67 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Victory New Materials Ltd Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.6M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Victory New Materials Ltd Co it is 2.94 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 5.24 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Victory New Materials Ltd Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1340 trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.24 TWD, fair value 2.94 TWD, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1340?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.24 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.94 TWD). For Victory New Materials Ltd Co the two are 2.30 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Victory New Materials Ltd Co worth?
The market values Victory New Materials Ltd Co at about 800M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 5.24 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.94 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1340?
Our models span a range for Victory New Materials Ltd Co: cautious scenario 1.94 TWD, base 2.94 TWD, optimistic 3.67 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 5.24 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Balance-sheet figures for Victory New Materials Ltd Co (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −13.4%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1340 from its 52-week high?
Victory New Materials Ltd Co trades at 5.24 TWD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 8.31 TWD and 4% above the low of 5.02 TWD (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.94 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Victory New Materials Ltd Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, On Holding, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Victory New Materials Ltd Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 5.24 TWD, calculated fair value 2.94 TWD (−44%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1340 calculated?
We run Victory New Materials Ltd Co through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.94 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Victory New Materials Ltd Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was 5.24 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 2.94 TWD, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Victory New Materials Ltd Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.67 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.94 TWD to 3.67 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Victory New Materials Ltd Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
The market capitalisation of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is 800M TWD (≈ $25.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is 19.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Earnings per share at Victory New Materials Ltd Co are −2.36 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is −8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
The operating margin of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is −377% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340)?
Revenue at Victory New Materials Ltd Co is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −56.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) generate?
The free cash flow of Victory New Materials Ltd Co is −194M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) hold?
Victory New Materials Ltd Co holds more cash than debt, 280M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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