Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 791M TWD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.67 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (1.94 TWD to 3.67 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.02 TWD – 14.10 TWD · fair‑value band 1.94 TWD – 3.67 TWD · the 5.14 TWD price screens above the 2.94 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Victory New Materials Ltd Co (1340) currently trades at 5.14 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.94 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 40.6M TWD. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 280M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.94 TWD (bear case) to 3.67 TWD (bull case); at 5.14 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -43%, 1340 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (11.42 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.45 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Victory New Materials Limited Company manufactures and sells shoe materials in China and internationally. The company offers secondary molding soles, one injection soles, one injection monochrome slippers, injected styrofoam plastic molding soles, one injection dual color soles, one injection dual color finished shoes, RB soles, EVO plastic particles, and …
Full company description
Victory New Materials Limited Company manufactures and sells shoe materials in China and internationally. The company offers secondary molding soles, one injection soles, one injection monochrome slippers, injected styrofoam plastic molding soles, one injection dual color soles, one injection dual color finished shoes, RB soles, EVO plastic particles, and toys. Victory New Materials Limited Company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Jinjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Victory New Materials Ltd Co reported revenue of 42.4M TWD in FY2025 versus 651M TWD in FY2021, a compound −49.5%/yr. Reported net income was −398M TWD in FY2025.
1340 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $40.51 | $35.63 | -12% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €158.15 | €65.71 | -58% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $93.84 | $125.16 | +33% |
| On Holding ONON | $30.91 | $17.53 | -43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.81 | ¥13.03 | +10% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $36.74 | $44.59 | +21% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $130.61 | $203.65 | +56% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥36.73 | ¥51.36 | +40% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.69 | €10.57 | -60% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.64 | HK$4.04 | -70% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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