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Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.18, price HK$0.17, upside +3.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG8571A1022

SG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd

1771 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.1796 · Fairly valued (+3.8%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 2/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$3.25 HK$0.1530 Fair Value HK$0.1796 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1530 – HK$3.25 · fair‑value band HK$0.1442 – HK$0.2093 · the HK$0.1730 price screens below the HK$0.1796 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in Mainland China. The company sells imported and domestically manufactured luxury and ultra-luxury automobiles.

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Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in Mainland China. The company sells imported and domestically manufactured luxury and ultra-luxury automobiles. It also offers after-sales services, including maintenance and repair, and automobile detailing services, as well as sells spare parts; and other value-added services, including automobile insurance agency, automobile financing agency, automobile licensing, and automobile survey services. In addition, the company provides logistics and storage services; commercial management; internet service and technology development; sale and service of second-hand cars; and recycling and disassembly of motor vehicles. Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Xi'an, the People's Republic of China. Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Top Wheel Limited.

Stock analysis

Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) currently trades at HK$0.1730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1796, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.7%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1844 per share, and 5 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.1730 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0747, and 5 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1442 (bear) to HK$0.2093 (bull), the price of HK$0.1730 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 7.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −245M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$104M (≈ $13.2M) · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1400 · Net margin −3.3% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin −3.2% · Revenue (TTM) 7.3B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −9.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 4%, 1771 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1442 Fair Value HK$0.1796 Bull HK$0.2093
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.1689 HK$0.2126 HK$0.2913 81
Growth DCF HK$0.1740 HK$0.2163 HK$0.2862 80
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1077 HK$0.1190 HK$0.1336 77
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1689 HK$0.2126 HK$0.2913 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1438 HK$0.1816 HK$0.2363 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1077 HK$0.1190 HK$0.1336 77
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1511 HK$0.1796 HK$0.2095 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1317 HK$0.1415 HK$0.1506 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.0702 HK$0.0773 HK$0.0840 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.1345 HK$0.1711 HK$0.2075 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0558 HK$0.0747 HK$0.1117 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1740 HK$0.2163 HK$0.2862 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1438 HK$0.1844 HK$0.2349 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.9% (2020) → −2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 94 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.18× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)38 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 67

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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AUTO1 Group AG1 €18.35 €4.53 −75%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $34.82 $30.57 −12%
Valvoline Inc VVV $28.92 $11.84 −59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1771

Frequently asked questions

Is Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1796 versus a price of HK$0.1730, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1771?
Our model-based fair value for Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1796 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1730.
What is the quality score of 1771?
Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1796 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1442, optimistic scenario HK$0.2093. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1796, about +4% upside versus a price of HK$0.1730 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1442, optimistic scenario HK$0.2093. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1796 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1730. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1771 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1730, fair value HK$0.1796, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1771?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1730); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1796). For Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0066 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$104M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1730; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1796 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1771?
Our models span a range for Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1442, base HK$0.1796, optimistic HK$0.2093 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1730). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1771 from its 52-week high?
Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1730, about 46% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3200 and 13% above the low of HK$0.1530 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1796 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1730, calculated fair value HK$0.1796 (+4%), Quality Score 46/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1771 calculated?
We run Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1796, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1730. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1796, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
The market capitalisation of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is HK$104M (≈ $13.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Earnings per share at Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
The net margin of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is −3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
The operating margin of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Revenue at Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is growing −9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Earnings per share at Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd are growing +6.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) generate?
The free cash flow of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is 171M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) carry?
The net debt of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is 532M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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