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Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$109M

SG Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd 1771 · HK
PriceHK$0.1680
Fair ValueHK$0.1500
Upside-10.7%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 2/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.1500 – HK$0.3500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1500 to HK$0.3500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.3500 (bull), base HK$0.1500. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.25 HK$0.1530 Fair Value HK$0.1500 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1530 – HK$3.25 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$0.1680 price screens above the HK$0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) currently trades at HK$0.1680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$7.3B at a net margin of -3.3%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.4%. Net debt stands at HK$532M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear case) to HK$0.3500 (bull case); at HK$0.1680, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -11%, 1771 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.60 HK$4.10 HK$4.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.72 HK$4.75 HK$6.02 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.55 HK$4.08 HK$4.94 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.72 HK$4.69 HK$6.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.75 HK$3.03 HK$3.39 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.57 HK$4.21 HK$4.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.12 HK$3.33 HK$3.52 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1200 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$2.13 HK$2.34 HK$2.55 54
EV/Revenue HK$4.08 HK$5.19 HK$6.30 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.69 HK$2.27 HK$3.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.60 HK$4.10 HK$4.85 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.72 HK$4.75 HK$6.02 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$4.10) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$7.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.6%
Net margin -3.3%
Return on equity -11.4%
Free cash flow HK$171M FY2025
Operating margin -3.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net debt HK$532M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in Mainland China. The company sells imported and domestically manufactured luxury and ultra-luxury automobiles.

Full company description

Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in Mainland China. The company sells imported and domestically manufactured luxury and ultra-luxury automobiles. It also offers after-sales services, including maintenance and repair, and automobile detailing services, as well as sells spare parts; and other value-added services, including automobile insurance agency, automobile financing agency, automobile licensing, and automobile survey services. In addition, the company provides logistics and storage services; commercial management; internet service and technology development; sale and service of second-hand cars; and recycling and disassembly of motor vehicles. Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Xi'an, the People's Republic of China. Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Top Wheel Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$7.3B in FY2025 versus HK$11.6B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$245M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$7.3B
Latest YoY
−14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Revenue −10.9%/yr
FY21 HK$11.6B
FY22 HK$10.9B
FY23 HK$11.0B
FY24 HK$8.6B
FY25 HK$7.3B
Net income
FY21 HK$346M
FY22 HK$81.3M
FY23 HK$11.9M
FY24 −HK$213M
FY25 −HK$245M

1771 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1771

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 91 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 75

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $72.48 $24.58 -66%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $218.00 $217.41 -0%
D'Ieteren Group DIE €175.00 €105.40 -40%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 524.00 TWD 558.82 TWD +7%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.71 $29.44 -50%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $378.55 $498.50 +32%
AutoNation, Inc AN $208.62 $329.77 +58%
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA $80.63 $66.27 -18%
Valvoline Inc VVV $33.30 $24.55 -26%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $35.33 $33.46 -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1500 versus a price of HK$0.1680, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1771?
Our model-based fair value for Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1500 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1680.
What is the quality score of 1771?
Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd (1771)?
Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1771?
The net profit margin of Sunfonda Group Holdings Ltd is about -3.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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