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Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.89, price HK$1.48, that is 39.7% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical HK · Based in Switzerland · ISIN KYG311691086

EB Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd

1856 · HK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 40% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +24% vs. a year ago.
Fair value HK$0.8900 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 28/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.3 %/yr in HKD)
Loss-making · -41.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.77 HK$0.9200 Fair Value HK$0.8900 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9200 – HK$2.77 · fair‑value band HK$0.6700 – HK$1.11 · the HK$1.48 price screens above the HK$0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Ernest Borel Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells Swiss-made mechanical and quartz premium watches for men and women under the Ernest Borel brand.

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It is also involved in the assembling and distribution of watches; design, development, and manufacturing of stainless-steel alloy watches and smartwatches cases; and provision of after-sales services.

It operates in the People's Republic of China, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macau, Korea, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Le Noirmont, Switzerland. Ernest Borel Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of VGB Limited.

Stock analysis

Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856) currently trades at HK$1.48, while our estimate is HK$0.8900, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.6700 (bear) to HK$1.11 (bull), the price of HK$1.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$79.3M in FY2025 versus HK$149M in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$52.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$531M (≈ $67.7M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.02 · Net margin −66.1% · Return on equity −51.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −48.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$88.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +24.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −40%, 1856 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.6700 Fair Value HK$0.8900 Bull HK$1.11
Price HK$1.48 · Downside -39.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 84
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 27
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.4% (2020) → −92.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1856 screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Compagnie Financière Richemont SA →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 125 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −39.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −41.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −48.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.05× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.00× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 53
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 56
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$40.16 HK$61.06 +52% vs 1856
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 958.60 kr 1,424 +49% vs 1856
Christian Dior SE CDI €432.60 €552.53 +28% vs 1856
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.08 HK$11.89 −2% vs 1856
Tapestry, Inc TPR $135.62 $111.56 −18% vs 1856
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 175.45 CHF 127.65 −27% vs 1856
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €87.86 €36.54 −58% vs 1856
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹611.00 ₹184.73 −70% vs 1856
Titan Company TITAN ₹5,005 ₹1,487 −70% vs 1856
Kering SA KER €189.50 €42.26 −78% vs 1856

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Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1856

Frequently asked questions

Is Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.8900 versus a price of HK$1.48, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1856?
Our estimate for Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is HK$0.8900 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.48.
What is the quality score of 1856?
Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.8900 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.6700, optimistic scenario HK$1.11. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.8900, about 40% lower versus a price of HK$1.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6700, optimistic scenario HK$1.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$88.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.8900 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$1.48.
Is Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 1856 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.48, fair value HK$0.8900, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1856?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8900). For Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5850 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd at about HK$531M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.48; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1856?
Our models span a range for Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6700, base HK$0.8900, optimistic HK$1.11 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$1.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −51.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1856 from its 52-week high?
Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.48, about 26% below its 52-week high of HK$1.98 and 29% above the low of HK$1.14 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Kering SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$1.48, calculated fair value HK$0.8900 (−40%), Quality Score 28/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was HK$1.48. Our estimate is HK$0.8900, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The market capitalisation of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is HK$531M (≈ $67.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is 6.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The net margin of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is −66.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is −51.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is −7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
The operating margin of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is −48.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856)?
Revenue at Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is growing +24.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856) generate?
The free cash flow of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is −HK$27.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd (1856) carry?
The net debt of Ernest Borel Holdings Ltd is HK$28.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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