EN DE
Watch Guan Chao Holdings Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.62, price HK$3.70, that is 83.2% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Consumer Cyclical HK · Based in Singapore · ISIN KYG4183A1013

GC Guan Chao Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 1, 2026

Guan Chao Holdings Ltd

1872 · HK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +66% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.3 %/yr in SGD)
Fair value HK$0.6200 · Strongly overvalued (−83.2%)
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -4.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
Watch Guan Chao Holdings Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$8.78 HK$0.1237 Fair Value HK$0.6200 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1237 – HK$8.78 · fair‑value band HK$0.4100 – HK$0.7800 · the HK$3.70 price screens above the HK$0.6200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.

Follow Guan Chao Holdings in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Guan Chao Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Guan Chao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of parallel-import and pre-owned motor vehicles in Singapore and internationally.

Show moreShow less

It also provides motor vehicle financing, motor vehicle insurance agency, and motor vehicle leasing services; and sales of motor vehicle spare parts and accessories.

In addition, it engages in sales of hair-care products; and manufactures and sales lithium niobate crystals and lithium niobate thin films. Guan Chao Holdings Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872) currently trades at HK$3.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6200, 83.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.4100 (bear) to HK$0.7800 (bull), the price of HK$3.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Guan Chao Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 328M SGD in FY2025 versus 246M SGD in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −8.2M SGD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.4B (≈ $307M) Small · P/S ratio 5.89 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin −0.4% · Revenue (TTM) 420M SGD · Revenue growth (YoY) +66.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −83%, 1872 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.4100 Fair Value HK$0.6200 Bull HK$0.7800
Price HK$3.70 · Downside -83.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4100 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7800 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4100 HK$0.6200 HK$0.7800 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 28
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 29
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 14
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+71.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.8% (2020) → −1.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1872 screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Carvana Co →

Compare Guan Chao Holdings Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 66.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.49× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.94× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 73

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $309.66 $517.15 +67% vs 1872
AutoNation, Inc AN $185.90 $218.68 +18% vs 1872
Penske Automotive Group PAG $213.25 $229.90 +8% vs 1872
Hotai Motor Co 2207 536.00 TWD 576.75 TWD +8% vs 1872
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHB $59.14 $49.69 −16% vs 1872
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $39.60 $30.57 −23% vs 1872
D'Ieteren Group DIE €177.60 €105.40 −41% vs 1872
CarMax, Inc KMX $56.42 $32.38 −43% vs 1872
Carvana Co CVNA $72.00 $25.27 −65% vs 1872
AUTO1 Group AG1 €18.60 €4.48 −76% vs 1872

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Free calculator Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Free calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Guan Chao Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guan Chao Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1872

Frequently asked questions

Is Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6200 versus a price of HK$3.70, about 83% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1872?
Our model-based fair value for Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is HK$0.6200 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.70.
What is the quality score of 1872?
Guan Chao Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6200 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.4100, optimistic scenario HK$0.7800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guan Chao Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6200, about 83% lower versus a price of HK$3.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.4100, optimistic scenario HK$0.7800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Guan Chao Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 420M SGD (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guan Chao Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.6200 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of HK$3.70. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guan Chao Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, 1872 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$3.70, fair value HK$0.6200, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1872?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6200). For Guan Chao Holdings Ltd the two are HK$3.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guan Chao Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Guan Chao Holdings Ltd at about HK$2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.70; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1872?
Our models span a range for Guan Chao Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.4100, base HK$0.6200, optimistic HK$0.7800 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price HK$3.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity −12.3%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1872 from its 52-week high?
Guan Chao Holdings Ltd trades at HK$3.70, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$8.78 and 26% above the low of HK$2.93 (as of Nov 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guan Chao Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, D'Ieteren Group, Hotai Motor Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guan Chao Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price HK$3.70, calculated fair value HK$0.6200 (−83%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1872 calculated?
We run Guan Chao Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Guan Chao Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The closing price on Nov 2, 2026 was HK$3.70. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6200, about 83% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guan Chao Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7800). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4100 to HK$0.7800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The market capitalisation of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is HK$2.4B (≈ $307M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is 5.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The net margin of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is −12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
The operating margin of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Revenue at Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is growing +66.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872)?
Earnings per share at Guan Chao Holdings Ltd are growing −83.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872) generate?
The free cash flow of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is −66.8M SGD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guan Chao Holdings Ltd (1872) carry?
The net debt of Guan Chao Holdings Ltd is 48.1M SGD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Guan Chao Holdings Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Guan Chao Holdings Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.