Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. TWD 227, price TWD 229, upside -0.8%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 182.76 TWD – 345.50 TWD · fair‑value band 127.08 TWD – 356.69 TWD · the 229.00 TWD price screens above the 227.20 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. engages in the distribution, trading, repair, and maintenance of automobiles and components in Taiwan. The company also sells, maintains, and repairs luxury cars of BMW, MINI, and Porsche brands. Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) currently trades at 229.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 227.20 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 0.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 343.10 TWD per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the 229.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 49.60 TWD, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 127.08 TWD (bear) to 356.69 TWD (bull), the price of 229.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. reported revenue of 51.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 42.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding +4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 18.5B TWD (≈ $580M) · P/E ratio 15.2 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 15.04 TWD · Dividend yield 6.3% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −1%, 2247 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 127.08 TWDFair Value 227.20 TWDBull 356.69 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3950 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5% vs 1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+38.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +35.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 104 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−32% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2247
Frequently asked questions
Is Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 227.20 TWD versus a price of 229.00 TWD, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 2247?
Our model-based fair value for Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 227.20 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 229.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2247?
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 227.20 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 127.08 TWD, optimistic scenario 356.69 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 227.20 TWD, about −1% upside versus a price of 229.00 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 127.08 TWD, optimistic scenario 356.69 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 47.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. pay a dividend?
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +38.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2247 use?
Our models discount Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. that is +38.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. grew +5.4 % a year. The price currently implies +38.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (+38.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.22 %: that much free cash flow Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. it is 227.20 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 229.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2247 trades above its calculated fair value: price 229.00 TWD, fair value 227.20 TWD, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2247?
No. The price is what the market pays today (229.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (227.20 TWD). For Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. the two are 1.80 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. worth?
The market values Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. at about 18.5B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 229.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 227.20 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2247?
Our models span a range for Pan German Universal Motors Ltd.: cautious scenario 127.08 TWD, base 227.20 TWD, optimistic 356.69 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 229.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2247?
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 227.20 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2247 from its 52-week high?
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. trades at 229.00 TWD, about 24% below its 52-week high of 301.00 TWD and 12% above the low of 204.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 227.20 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pan German Universal Motors Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 229.00 TWD, calculated fair value 227.20 TWD (−1%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2247 calculated?
We run Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 227.20 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 229.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 227.20 TWD, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (127.08 TWD to 356.69 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) come from?
Earnings per share at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. grew +2.9 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin −0.7 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The market capitalisation of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 18.5B TWD (≈ $580M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Earnings per share at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. are 15.04 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The dividend yield of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 6.3% (payout 96.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The net margin of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
The operating margin of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Revenue at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is growing −31.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247)?
Earnings per share at Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. are growing −54.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. (2247) carry?
The net debt of Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. is 2.4B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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