2418 (2418) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$6.3B

2 2418 2418 · HK

PriceHK$2.88

Fair ValueHK$0.6100

Upside-78.8%

Quality43/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.4600 – HK$0.7600

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$1.65 – HK$9.77 · fair‑value band HK$0.4600 – HK$0.7600 · the HK$2.88 price screens above the HK$0.6100 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

2418 (2418) currently trades at HK$2.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6100 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 2418 generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at HK$6.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.8B

Revenue growth (YoY) +22.0%

Net margin 2.5%

Return on equity 1.8%

Free cash flow −HK$870M FY2025

P/E ratio 98.3

More key figures

Operating margin -1.3%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400

Dividend yield 1.0%

EPS growth (YoY) -19.9%

Net debt HK$6.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

2418 reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$3.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$68.3M in FY2025, compounding −34.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −3.1%/yr

FY21 HK$3.1B

FY22 HK$2.7B

FY23 HK$3.1B

FY24 HK$2.6B

FY25 HK$2.8B

Net income −34.1%/yr

FY21 HK$363M

FY22 HK$226M

FY23 HK$149M

FY24 HK$153M

FY25 HK$68.3M

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Similar stocks

6 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA	$66.19	$52.74	-20%
Penske Automotive Group PAG	$178.18	$135.60	-24%
D'Ieteren Group SIEVF	$193.00	$125.79	-35%
Hotai Motor Co 2207	495.00 TWD	626.30 TWD	+27%
CarMax, Inc KMX	$51.91	$30.54	-41%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD	$295.15	$500.63	+70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 2418 (2418) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6100 versus a price of HK$2.88 — about −79% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 2418?

Our model-based fair value for 2418 is HK$0.6100 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.88.

What is the quality score of 2418?

2418 has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 2418 (2418)?

2418 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 2418?

The net profit margin of 2418 is about 2.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 2418 pay a dividend?

2418 currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.