Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd (2418) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$6.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range HK$0.6269 – HK$9.77 · fair‑value band HK$0.4600 – HK$0.7700 · the HK$2.74 price screens above the HK$0.6200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd (2418) currently trades at HK$2.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6200, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of 2.5%. Revenue grew 22.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at HK$6.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4600 (bear case) to HK$0.7700 (bull case); at HK$2.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -77%, 2418 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.03) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.3000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 2418 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the logistics and supply chain business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Logistics and Supply Chain Service; Supply Chain Financial Service; and Internet of Vehicles and Data Service segments.
Full company description
Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the logistics and supply chain business in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Logistics and Supply Chain Service; Supply Chain Financial Service; and Internet of Vehicles and Data Service segments. The Logistics and Supply Chain Service segment distributes commercial vehicles and components, including tyres, lubricants, and other automobile-related products, such as carbamide and components; logistics and warehousing services; and leased automobile management services. This segment serves raw materials and components suppliers, energy companies, express courier service providers, commercial vehicle manufacturers, automobile sales dealers, logistics companies, and commercial vehicle end-customers. Its Supply Chain Financial Service segment provides heavy-duty trucks and commercial vehicles financial leasing and factoring services; satellite positioning devices; and related installation services under the financial leasing services. The Internet of Vehicles and Data Service segment distributes IoV terminal products and solutions; and offers data services. The company was formerly known as Deewin Tianxia Investment Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd in December 2020. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Xi'an, the People's Republic of China. Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd is a subsidiary of Shaanxi Automobile Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.8B in FY2025 versus HK$3.1B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$68.3M in FY2025, compounding −34.1%/yr from FY2021.
2418 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $72.48 | $24.58 | -66% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $218.00 | $217.41 | -0% |
| D'Ieteren Group DIE | €175.00 | €105.40 | -40% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 524.00 TWD | 558.82 TWD | +7% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.71 | $29.44 | -50% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $378.55 | $498.50 | +32% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $208.62 | $329.77 | +58% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $80.63 | $66.27 | -18% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $33.30 | $24.55 | -26% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $35.33 | $33.46 | -5% |
Compare Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd (2418) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 2418?
What is the quality score of 2418?
What is the revenue of Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd (2418)?
What is the net profit margin of 2418?
Does Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Deewin Tianxia Co Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.