FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$983M (≈ $125M)
At a glance
FIFAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd2516 · HK
PriceHK$0.7300
Fair ValueHK$0.2800
Upside−61.6%
Quality49/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 161% above our fair value of HK$0.2800.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd is HK$0.2800 per share against a price of HK$0.7300, so the fair value sits 62% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 2 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange HK$0.2000 to HK$0.3800
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1400 to HK$0.2800 (+100.0%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −7.6% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2000 to HK$0.3800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range HK$0.3900 – HK$1.63 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.7300 price screens above the HK$0.2800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516) currently trades at HK$0.7300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2800, implying the stock looks roughly 160.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.04 per share, and 14 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$0.7300 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 9 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.0B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at HK$78.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Scenario range: HK$0.2000 (bear) to HK$0.3800 (bull), the price of HK$0.7300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −62%, 2516 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio105.0as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio0.27P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)HK$−0.0200price ÷ EPS = P/E 105.0
Net margin0.3%FY2026
Return on equity0.4%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)4.3%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin3.3%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)HK$2.0BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−23.8%3y avg +11.0%
EPS growth (YoY)−38.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flowHK$156MFY2026
Net debtHK$78.9MFY2026 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality49/100
Of which business quality 53
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Profitability33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance79
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides cross-border e-commerce logistics services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides cross-border e-commerce logistics services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, the United States, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers end-to-end cross-border delivery services, including parcel reception, warehousing, security clearance, packaging, labeling, and sorting services; and freight forwarding and other logistics services, such as freight forwarding, customs clearance, parcel pick-up from air/seaports, warehouse operation, and transportation and last-mile delivery services. The company also provides a range of value-added supply chain solutions comprising customs clearance/collection/distribution, industry, and OGP/OSP solutions. It offers freight forwarding services through air, sea, and ground transportation delivery methods. The company serves e-commerce platforms, e-commerce sellers, other logistics service providers, and traditional traders. FAR International Holdings Group Company Limited was founded in 2004 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.0B CNY in FY2026 versus 1.4B CNY in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.1M CNY in FY2026, compounding −39.0%/yr from FY2022.
Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$2.0B
Latest YoY
−33.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−49.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−49.7%
Dividend yield0.0%
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.6% (2021) → 2.8% (2026) · steady
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2516
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 208 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)105.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.8× · Cheaper than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years-12.1 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+5.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price27.10 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models15.1 %
The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 41
FUTURE0· sector 8
PAST2· sector 26
HEALTH0· sector 94
DIVIDEND0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
Is FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2800 versus a price of HK$0.7300, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2516?
Our model-based fair value for FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd is HK$0.2800 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7300.
What is the quality score of 2516?
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2800 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2800, about −62% upside versus a price of HK$0.7300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2000, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516)?
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2516?
The net profit margin of FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -12.1 % per year for ten years (discount rate 15.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.7 % per year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2516 use?
Our models discount FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd at 15.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.56, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd it is HK$0.2800 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.7300. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 13, 2026, 2516 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.7300, fair value HK$0.2800, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2516?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.7300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2800). For FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd the two are HK$0.4500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd worth?
The market values FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd at about HK$983M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.7300; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2516?
Our models span a range for FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2000, base HK$0.2800, optimistic HK$0.3800 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026, price HK$0.7300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2516?
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 105.0 (as of Aug 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (2516)?
Balance-sheet figures for FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd (as of Aug 13, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2516 from its 52-week high?
FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd trades at HK$0.7300, about 49% below its 52-week high of HK$1.44 and 52% above the low of HK$0.4800 (as of Aug 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 13, 2026: price HK$0.7300, calculated fair value HK$0.2800 (−62%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2516 calculated?
We run FAR Intl Hldg Grp Co Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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