Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd (2612) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 10.4B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 92.79 TWD to 45.84 TWD (−50.6%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 32.22 TWD (bear) to 57.30 TWD (bull), base 45.84 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 28.37 TWD – 78.73 TWD · fair‑value band 32.22 TWD – 57.30 TWD · the 55.00 TWD price screens above the 45.84 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd (2612) currently trades at 55.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.84 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd generated revenue of 4.9B TWD at a net margin of 22.2%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. Net debt stands at 8.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 32.22 TWD (bear case) to 57.30 TWD (bull case); at 55.00 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -17%, 2612 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (93.18 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (25.35 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates bulk carriers, and inland container transportation and terminals in Asia, the United States, Europe, and Oceania. It operates through Land Transportation, Logistics, and Sea Transportation segments.
Full company description
Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates bulk carriers, and inland container transportation and terminals in Asia, the United States, Europe, and Oceania. It operates through Land Transportation, Logistics, and Sea Transportation segments. The company is involved in container transportation, warehousing and freight agent, bulk carrier, and travel business; manufacturing of automobile and its parts; and investment management activities, as well as operates ship owning companies. It also provides container trucking services, such as long and short haul container drayage, shipside/dock and port container trans-loading, customers container freight station (CFS)/container yard (CY) operation coordination, door to door delivery services, depots and fully-owned CYs, computerized services for real-time containers status information, and container and seal inspection, as well as empty-container storage, cleaning, repair, other logistic support. In addition, the company offers container yard, CFS, IB/OB, empty container depot, container maintenance and repair, reefer container, outside unbonded warehouse facilities, bonded and chilled warehouse facility, and custom cargo closing services, as well as labor supplier services, such as labeling, sorting, picking, delivery, and bar code scan services. Further, it operates as a sales agent for Saudi Arabian Airlines; and provides cargo freighter charter, air cargo, passenger and ticket agency, and travel planning and reservation services, as well as travel packages. The company was formerly known as Associated Transport Inc. Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd reported revenue of 4.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
2612 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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