Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd TWD 33.07, price TWD 20.40, upside +62.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Taiwan Pelican Express Co., Ltd. provides truck transportation, home delivery, and other professional logistic delivery services in Taiwan. It offers C2C, B2C, and C2B home-delivery services; and warehouse storage, logistics, and tally and packaging services. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) currently trades at 20.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.07 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 38.46 TWD per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the 20.40 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4.22 TWD, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 27.71 TWD (bear) to 40.38 TWD (bull), the price of 20.40 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −99.5M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B TWD (≈ $61.4M) · P/S ratio 0.56 · EPS (TTM) −1.04 TWD · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity −6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin −8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 62%, 2642 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 27.71 TWDFair Value 33.07 TWDBull 40.38 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.0% (2020) → −3.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.6% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2642
Frequently asked questions
Is Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.07 TWD versus a price of 20.40 TWD, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2642?
Our model-based fair value for Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 33.07 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2642?
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.07 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 27.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 40.38 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.07 TWD, about +62% upside versus a price of 20.40 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 27.71 TWD, optimistic scenario 40.38 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -10.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2642 use?
Our models discount Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd that is -10.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd grew -0.9 % a year. The price currently implies -10.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (-10.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.73 %: that much free cash flow Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd it is 33.07 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 20.40 TWD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2642 trades below its calculated fair value: price 20.40 TWD, fair value 33.07 TWD, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2642?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.40 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.07 TWD). For Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd the two are 12.67 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd worth?
The market values Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd at about 2.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 20.40 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 33.07 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2642?
Our models span a range for Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd: cautious scenario 27.71 TWD, base 33.07 TWD, optimistic 40.38 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 20.40 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Balance-sheet figures for Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2642 from its 52-week high?
Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd trades at 20.40 TWD, about 36% below its 52-week high of 31.65 TWD and 2% above the low of 20.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.07 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 20.40 TWD, calculated fair value 33.07 TWD (+62%), Quality Score 52/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2642 calculated?
We run Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.07 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 20.40 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 33.07 TWD, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (27.71 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The market capitalisation of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 2.0B TWD (≈ $61.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 0.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Earnings per share at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd are −1.04 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The dividend yield of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 2.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The net margin of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is −2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is −6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
The operating margin of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is −8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Revenue at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642)?
Earnings per share at Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd are growing −15.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd (2642) carry?
The net debt of Taiwan Pelican Express Co Ltd is 651M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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