Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd ¥8.40, price ¥44.10, upside -81.0%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ¥16.89 – ¥65.88 · fair‑value band ¥5.62 – ¥11.35 · the ¥44.10 price screens above the ¥8.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
Follow Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd. researches and develops, produces, sells, and services of high-purity gases in China. The company offers oxygen, nitrogen, argon gas, medical oxygen, food nitrogen, industrial oxygen, carbon dioxide, hydrogen, various electronic gases, and mixed gases, etc.
Show more
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd. researches and develops, produces, sells, and services of high-purity gases in China. The company offers oxygen, nitrogen, argon gas, medical oxygen, food nitrogen, industrial oxygen, carbon dioxide, hydrogen, various electronic gases, and mixed gases, etc. It also involved in production and operation of hazardous chemicals, production of food additives, production, wholesale, and retail of medicines; production, retail, and wholesale of pharmaceuticals; manufacturing of basic chemical raw materials; manufacturing of metal structures; sales of instruments and meters; and sales of mechanical equipment and leasing of mechanical equipment. The company's products are used in metallurgy, chemical industry, military industry, medical treatment, food, new energy, semiconductors, electronic information, biomedicine, and new materials. Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Stock analysis
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) currently trades at ¥44.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.40, 81.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥9.87 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥44.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.29, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥5.62 (bear) to ¥11.35 (bull), the price of ¥44.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 833M CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 232M CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 17.6B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 68.9 · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.6400 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 21.6% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −81%, 301286 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥5.62Fair Value ¥8.40Bull ¥11.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1391 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 29%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 56% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.5% a year for the price.
Compare Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 694 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−81.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)22.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)28.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)68.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.99× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)15.45× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF97.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA38.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)83· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)54· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)21· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301286
Frequently asked questions
Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.40 versus a price of ¥44.10, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301286?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is ¥8.40 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥44.10.
What is the quality score of 301286?
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.40 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.62, optimistic scenario ¥11.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.40, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥44.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.62, optimistic scenario ¥11.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.03% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +42.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301286 use?
Our models discount Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd that is +42.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies +42.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (+42.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.02 %: that much free cash flow Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd it is ¥8.40 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ¥44.10. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 301286 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥44.10, fair value ¥8.40, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301286?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥44.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.40). For Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd the two are ¥35.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd at about 17.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ¥44.10; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301286?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.62, base ¥8.40, optimistic ¥11.35 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ¥44.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301286?
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 68.9 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.0, P/S 15.5, EV/EBITDA 38.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 13.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301286 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd trades at ¥44.10, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥65.88 and 69% above the low of ¥26.03 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ¥44.10, calculated fair value ¥8.40 (−81%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301286 calculated?
We run Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥44.10. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.40, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥5.62 to ¥11.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 17.6B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 14.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd are ¥0.6400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 68.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 1.0% (payout 71.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The net margin of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 21.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 13.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 28.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Revenue at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is growing +16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd are growing +24.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd (301286) carry?
The net debt of Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd is 222M CNY (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
