3836 (3836) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$1.0B

3 3836 3836 · HK

PriceHK$0.6900

Fair ValueHK$0.5400

Upside-21.7%

Quality45/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3000 – HK$0.7400

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.4500 – HK$2.39 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.7400 · the HK$0.6900 price screens above the HK$0.5400 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3836 (3836) currently trades at HK$0.6900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5400 — implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 3836 generated revenue of HK$20.0B at a net margin of -3.2%. Revenue grew 27.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.0%. Net debt stands at HK$4.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$20.0B

Revenue growth (YoY) +27.5%

Net margin -3.2%

Return on equity -14.0%

Free cash flow −HK$310M FY2025

Operating margin -2.5%

More key figures

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100

EPS growth (YoY) +57.1%

Net debt HK$4.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3836 reported revenue of HK$20.0B in FY2025 versus HK$18.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$635M in FY2025.

Revenue +2.7%/yr

FY21 HK$18.0B

FY22 HK$16.3B

FY23 HK$16.6B

FY24 HK$15.6B

FY25 HK$20.0B

Net income

FY21 HK$673M

FY22 −HK$1.6B

FY23 −HK$252M

FY24 −HK$291M

FY25 −HK$635M

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Similar stocks

6 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA	$66.67	$38.48	-42%
Penske Automotive Group PAG	$171.02	$150.41	-12%
D'Ieteren Group SIEVF	$193.00	$125.79	-35%
Hotai Motor Co 2207	495.00 TWD	626.30 TWD	+27%
CarMax, Inc KMX	$47.15	$30.27	-36%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD	$295.15	$500.63	+70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3836 (3836) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5400 versus a price of HK$0.6900 — about −22% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3836?

Our model-based fair value for 3836 is HK$0.5400 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.6900.

What is the quality score of 3836?

3836 has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3836 (3836)?

3836 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$20.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3836?

The net profit margin of 3836 is about -3.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.