SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. SAR 190, price SAR 173, upside +10.0%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range 115.93 SAR – 302.75 SAR · fair‑value band 133.21 SAR – 247.39 SAR · the 173.00 SAR price screens below the 190.30 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 6, 2026.
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SAL Saudi Logistics Services Company provides logistics and supply chain solutions in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates in Handling, Logistics, and SAL zones segments.
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SAL Saudi Logistics Services Company provides logistics and supply chain solutions in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates in Handling, Logistics, and SAL zones segments. It offers cargo handling services to air cargo carriers operating at the Kingdom's airports and consignees for warehouse handling and storage; and end to end logistic solutions, customs clearance, and inventory management services, as well as warehouse management solutions. The company also offers streamedlined logistics operations through high-quality warehousing and bonded and non-bonded areas. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) currently trades at 173.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 190.30 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 211.49 SAR per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the 173.00 SAR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 64.57 SAR, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 133.21 SAR (bear) to 247.39 SAR (bull), the price of 173.00 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. reported revenue of 1.7B SAR in FY2025 versus 962M SAR in FY2021, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was 698M SAR in FY2025, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 13.8B SAR (≈ $3.7B) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 7.75 · EPS (TTM) 9.12 SAR · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 40.8% · Return on equity 45.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 10%, 4263 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 133.21 SARFair Value 190.30 SARBull 247.39 SAR
Price 173.00 SAR · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.74 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+19.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.37% → 43%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.3% a year for the price and +7.1% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 209 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4263
Frequently asked questions
Is SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 190.30 SAR versus a price of 173.00 SAR, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4263?
Our model-based fair value for SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 190.30 SAR (as of Oct 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 173.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4263?
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 190.30 SAR (as of Oct 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 133.21 SAR, optimistic scenario 247.39 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 190.30 SAR, about +10% upside versus a price of 173.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 133.21 SAR, optimistic scenario 247.39 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 6, 2026).
Does SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. pay a dividend?
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.96% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.3 % per year. As of Oct 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4263 use?
Our models discount SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. that is +3.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. grew +20.3 % a year. The price currently implies +3.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (+3.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.90 %: that much free cash flow SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. it is 190.30 SAR per share (as of Oct 6, 2026), against a price of 173.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 6, 2026, 4263 trades below its calculated fair value: price 173.00 SAR, fair value 190.30 SAR, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4263?
No. The price is what the market pays today (173.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (190.30 SAR). For SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. the two are 17.30 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. worth?
The market values SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. at about 13.8B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 6, 2026). Per share that is 173.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 190.30 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4263?
Our models span a range for SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co.: cautious scenario 133.21 SAR, base 190.30 SAR, optimistic 247.39 SAR per share (as of Oct 6, 2026, price 173.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4263?
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Oct 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 190.30 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.5, P/S 7.3, EV/EBITDA 15.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (as of Oct 6, 2026): return on equity 45.7%, debt of 0.30 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4263 from its 52-week high?
SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. trades at 173.00 SAR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 183.53 SAR and 20% above the low of 144.51 SAR (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 190.30 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 6, 2026: price 173.00 SAR, calculated fair value 190.30 SAR (+10%), Quality Score 73/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4263 calculated?
We run SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 190.30 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 173.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 190.30 SAR, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. right now?
A fairly wide model range (133.21 SAR to 247.39 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The market capitalisation of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 13.8B SAR (≈ $3.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 7.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Earnings per share at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. are 9.12 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The dividend yield of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 4.0% (payout 75.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The net margin of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 40.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 45.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
The operating margin of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 41.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Revenue at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is growing +30.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263)?
Earnings per share at SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. are growing +18.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. (4263) carry?
The net debt of SAL Saudi Logistics Services Co. is 1.0B SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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