Hsinli Chemical Industrial (4303) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 4.1B TWD
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated today
Share price +16.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 145% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (94.12 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.75 TWD – 92.40 TWD · fair‑value band 94.12 TWD – 156.86 TWD · the 51.20 TWD price screens below the 125.49 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Hsinli Chemical Industrial (4303) currently trades at 51.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125.49 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 145.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hsinli Chemical Industrial generated revenue of 992M TWD at a net margin of 29.7%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at 638M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 94.12 TWD (bear case) to 156.86 TWD (bull case); at 51.20 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 145%, 4303 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (409.54 TWD) versus Multiples (12.53 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HsinLi Chemical Industrial Corp. engages in the manufacture and sale of synthetic and plastic leather products in Taiwan and internationally.
Full company description
HsinLi Chemical Industrial Corp. engages in the manufacture and sale of synthetic and plastic leather products in Taiwan and internationally. The company provides TPU products, moisture-penetrate polyurethane (PU) films, and PU synthetic leather products; furniture, automobile decoration, and soft polyvinyl chloride series products; and leather sofa, wallpapers, car seats, seat covers, and cushions. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hsinli Chemical Industrial reported revenue of 988M TWD in FY2025 versus 365M TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding +66.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $40.51 | $35.63 | -12% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €158.15 | €65.71 | -58% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $89.51 | $125.16 | +40% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | -43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.81 | ¥13.03 | +10% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $36.74 | $44.59 | +21% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $130.61 | $203.65 | +56% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥36.73 | ¥51.36 | +40% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.69 | €10.57 | -60% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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