Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co (600119) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.4400 to ¥0.8300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.96 – ¥10.97 · fair‑value band ¥0.4400 – ¥0.8300 · the ¥4.62 price screens above the ¥0.6400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co (600119) currently trades at ¥4.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co generated revenue of 201M CNY at a net margin of -21.3%. Revenue declined 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.5%. Net debt stands at 2.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4400 (bear case) to ¥0.8300 (bull case); at ¥4.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -86%, 600119 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥0.8500) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co.,Ltd. provides logistics and circulation services in China. It operates through Logistics Business, Meteorological Business, and Other Business Segments.
Full company description
Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co.,Ltd. provides logistics and circulation services in China. It operates through Logistics Business, Meteorological Business, and Other Business Segments. The company engages in industrial investment, international import and export ocean freight forwarding, automobile transportation, warehousing, customs declaration, transport agency, and underground mining and processing of copper mines. It also involved in the research, development, and production of meteorological instruments; and investment advisory. Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co reported revenue of ¥204M in FY2025 versus ¥1.1B in FY2021, a compound −34.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥46.0M in FY2025.
600119 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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