CCS Supply Chain Management Co Ltd (600180) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 1.7B CNY
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 21, 2026, revised from ¥0.2700 to ¥0.5400 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +15.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 183% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.3600 to ¥1.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.08 – ¥9.93 · fair‑value band ¥0.3600 – ¥1.38 · the ¥1.53 price screens above the ¥0.5400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
CCS Supply Chain Management Co Ltd (600180) currently trades at ¥1.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, CCS Supply Chain Management Co Ltd generated revenue of 16.9B CNY at a net margin of -20.5%. It earns a return on equity of -56.7%. Net debt stands at 4.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3600 (bear case) to ¥1.38 (bull case); at ¥1.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at -65%, 600180 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.93) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3300). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CCS Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. engages in the supply chain management business in China and internationally. The company provides information, transactions, testing, warehousing, logistics, and other platform services to industrial customers.
Full company description
CCS Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. engages in the supply chain management business in China and internationally. The company provides information, transactions, testing, warehousing, logistics, and other platform services to industrial customers. It also engages in the development of cotton, jujubes, soybeans, cereals, and oils; thermal coal, coking coal, and coke business; and trading of renewable energy. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. CCS Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Zhengzhou Ruimaotong Supply Chain Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CCS Supply Chain Management Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥21.5B in FY2025 versus ¥47.6B in FY2021, a compound −18.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥3.1B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +20.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600180 screens 65% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $103.91 | $103.34 | -1% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $326.77 | $347.68 | +6% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.32 | €53.18 | -4% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,380 | kr 712.57 | -48% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $274.47 | $133.80 | -51% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $146.70 | $86.56 | -41% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $184.47 | $115.95 | -37% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO | $23.14 | $28.57 | +23% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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