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Jilin Quanyangquan Co (600189) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 5.3B CNY

JQ Jilin Quanyangquan Co 600189 · SHG
Price¥7.39
Fair Value¥0.6375
Upside-91.4%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.4165 – ¥0.6630 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6630). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.07 ¥5.54 Fair Value ¥0.6375 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.54 – ¥15.07 · fair‑value band ¥0.4165 – ¥0.6630 · the ¥7.39 price screens above the ¥0.6375 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Jilin Quanyangquan Co (600189) currently trades at ¥7.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6375, implying the stock looks roughly 91.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jilin Quanyangquan Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at 130M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4165 (bear case) to ¥0.6630 (bull case); at ¥7.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -91%, 600189 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.42 ¥3.10 ¥3.97 80
Residual Income ¥1.17 ¥1.10 ¥0.8100 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.83 ¥2.38 ¥2.96 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.37 ¥3.09 ¥4.07 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.83 ¥2.35 ¥2.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.13 ¥2.87 ¥3.69 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.38 ¥1.54 ¥1.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.00 ¥2.49 ¥3.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.21 ¥2.83 ¥3.57 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.75 ¥1.96 ¥2.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1400 ¥0.3100 ¥0.4000 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0900 46
EPV ¥1.40 ¥1.54 ¥1.66 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5100 ¥0.7900 ¥1.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5100 ¥0.7300 ¥0.9600 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.2700 ¥0.3600 ¥0.4500 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.2700 ¥0.3600 ¥0.4500 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.2700 ¥0.3600 ¥0.4500 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.74 ¥2.14 ¥2.53 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.20 ¥2.76 ¥3.31 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.58 ¥2.02 ¥2.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8600 ¥1.15 ¥1.71 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.42 ¥3.10 ¥3.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.83 ¥2.38 ¥2.96 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.17 ¥1.10 ¥0.8100 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.40 ¥1.54 ¥1.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2000 ¥0.2900 ¥0.3800 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.49) versus Growth Earnings (¥0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 4.2%
Free cash flow 131M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 245.3
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +100%
Net debt 130M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 34
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of door products, mineral water, and seedlings in China. The company operates through Mineral Water Distribution, Landscape and Greening Business, Door Products Business, and Others segments.

Full company description

Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of door products, mineral water, and seedlings in China. The company operates through Mineral Water Distribution, Landscape and Greening Business, Door Products Business, and Others segments. It also engages in the trade distribution; industrial production; greening project; design and construction of landscape, gardening, and greening; production and sale of mineral water, beverages, etc.; wholesale and retail trade; public facilities management; and landscaping businesses. Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Changchun, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jilin Quanyangquan Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.1M in FY2025, compounding −38.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y)
+4.1%
Revenue −3.8%/yr
FY21 ¥1.5B
FY22 ¥1.3B
FY23 ¥1.1B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥1.3B
Net income −38.5%/yr
FY21 ¥105M
FY22 ¥57.7M
FY23 −¥457M
FY24 ¥6.1M
FY25 ¥15.1M

600189 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jilin Quanyangquan Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600189

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 245.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 6.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 27.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 50 · sector 46
PAST 17 · sector 49
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jilin Quanyangquan Co (600189) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6375 versus a price of ¥7.39, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600189?
Our model-based fair value for Jilin Quanyangquan Co is ¥0.6375 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.39.
What is the quality score of 600189?
Jilin Quanyangquan Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jilin Quanyangquan Co (600189)?
Jilin Quanyangquan Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600189?
The net profit margin of Jilin Quanyangquan Co is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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