Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 26.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +16.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.81 to ¥8.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.40 – ¥10.45 · fair‑value band ¥3.81 – ¥8.57 · the ¥6.63 price screens below the ¥6.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595) currently trades at ¥6.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.86, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co generated revenue of 24.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 32.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.81 (bear case) to ¥8.57 (bull case); at ¥6.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 3%, 600595 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.75) versus Asset-Based (¥2.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd processes, manufactures, and sells electrolytic aluminum and aluminum products in China.
Full company description
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd processes, manufactures, and sells electrolytic aluminum and aluminum products in China. The company offers carbon series products; industrial investment, investment management, enterprise management consulting, and coal mine investment services; and new product and new material technology research, achievement transfer, process design, and related technical consulting services. It also provides can sheet, food cans, new energy batteries and packaging aluminum foil, alloy sheet, anodizing material, and aluminum alloy cast wheel hub. In addition, the company produces and sells thermal power generation and related products; sets of electrical and mechanical equipment and accessories, and aluminum materials; metal materials; and aluminum alloy bars, aluminum alloy ingots, aluminum plates, strips, foils, and other aluminum products, as well as alumina powder. Further, it is involved in coal production activities; electricity purchase and sales; software technology development, technology development, and transfer and technical services for communications, electronics, and power products; recycling of scrap aluminum materials; and import and export of goods and technologies. Additionally, the company engages in the renewable resource sales; renewable resource processing and recycling; and production of scrap metal recycling activities; and distributes metal materials, building materials, electrical and mechanical products, etc. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Gongyi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥23.1B in FY2025 versus ¥15.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.6B in FY2025, compounding +25.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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