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Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 26.6B CNY

HZ Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co 600595 · SHG
Price¥6.63
Fair Value¥6.86
Upside+3.5%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.67% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 53/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.81 – ¥8.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +16.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.81 to ¥8.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.45 ¥1.40 Fair Value ¥6.86 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.40 – ¥10.45 · fair‑value band ¥3.81 – ¥8.57 · the ¥6.63 price screens below the ¥6.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595) currently trades at ¥6.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.86, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co generated revenue of 24.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 32.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.81 (bear case) to ¥8.57 (bull case); at ¥6.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 3%, 600595 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.13 ¥3.87 ¥6.89 80
Residual Income ¥3.70 ¥4.07 ¥5.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.43 ¥8.57 ¥14.08 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.16 ¥4.10 ¥7.61 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.67 ¥12.64 ¥23.43 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.43 ¥8.78 ¥14.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.65 ¥9.25 ¥15.24 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.97 ¥7.81 ¥12.36 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.47 ¥7.39 ¥13.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.82 ¥7.75 ¥14.14 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.36 ¥6.67 ¥11.65 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.74 ¥13.99 ¥19.33 54
Lynch FV ¥3.81 ¥5.44 ¥7.07 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.81 ¥5.44 ¥7.07 46
EPV ¥5.14 ¥6.00 ¥6.75 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.14 ¥6.86 ¥8.57 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.14 ¥6.86 ¥8.57 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.14 ¥6.86 ¥8.57 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.30 ¥8.40 ¥10.50 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.20 ¥8.27 ¥10.34 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.46 ¥7.80 ¥10.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.13 ¥2.86 ¥4.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.13 ¥3.87 ¥6.89 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.43 ¥8.57 ¥14.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.70 ¥4.07 ¥5.99 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.60 ¥7.80 ¥10.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.18 ¥7.40 ¥9.62 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.75) versus Asset-Based (¥2.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 24.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.2%
Net margin 9.0%
Return on equity 11.6%
Free cash flow 649M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8
More key figures
Operating margin 17.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5400
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +233%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd processes, manufactures, and sells electrolytic aluminum and aluminum products in China.

Full company description

Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd processes, manufactures, and sells electrolytic aluminum and aluminum products in China. The company offers carbon series products; industrial investment, investment management, enterprise management consulting, and coal mine investment services; and new product and new material technology research, achievement transfer, process design, and related technical consulting services. It also provides can sheet, food cans, new energy batteries and packaging aluminum foil, alloy sheet, anodizing material, and aluminum alloy cast wheel hub. In addition, the company produces and sells thermal power generation and related products; sets of electrical and mechanical equipment and accessories, and aluminum materials; metal materials; and aluminum alloy bars, aluminum alloy ingots, aluminum plates, strips, foils, and other aluminum products, as well as alumina powder. Further, it is involved in coal production activities; electricity purchase and sales; software technology development, technology development, and transfer and technical services for communications, electronics, and power products; recycling of scrap aluminum materials; and import and export of goods and technologies. Additionally, the company engages in the renewable resource sales; renewable resource processing and recycling; and production of scrap metal recycling activities; and distributes metal materials, building materials, electrical and mechanical products, etc. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Gongyi, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥23.1B in FY2025 versus ¥15.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.6B in FY2025, compounding +25.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
23.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+19.7%
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 ¥15.3B
FY22 ¥17.5B
FY23 ¥18.8B
FY24 ¥22.8B
FY25 ¥23.1B
Net income +25.3%/yr
FY21 ¥656M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥704M
FY25 ¥1.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600595

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.99× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 38 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 26
PAST 60 · sector 30
HEALTH 98 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥18.54 ¥26.70 +44%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$24.54 HK$45.53 +86%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹955.80 ₹1,026 +7%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥8.11 ¥12.58 +55%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 84.96 kr 58.10 -32%
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 8.02 MYR 3.88 MYR -52%
Alcoa Corporation AAI A$70.60 A$49.53 -30%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥25.12 ¥29.68 +18%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥25.51 ¥30.28 +19%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥11.99 ¥21.86 +82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.86 versus a price of ¥6.63, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600595?
Our model-based fair value for Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co is ¥6.86 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.63.
What is the quality score of 600595?
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co (600595)?
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600595?
The net profit margin of Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co is about 9.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co pay a dividend?
Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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