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Shede Spirits Co (600702) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.9B CNY

Price¥39.25
Fair Value¥14.07
Upside-64.2%
Quality90/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥10.56 – ¥14.21

Analysis

Shede Spirits Co (600702) currently trades at ¥39.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.07 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Shede Spirits Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells of liquor products in China. It engages in the production and sale of glass products; wholesale and retail of alcoholic beverages and their packaging materials; grain purchase and sale; material procurement and sale; and commercial trade. The company is also involved in domestic tourism; tourism scenic area development; exhibition and display services; sales of pre-packaged food; wine distribution, food sales, online food sales, food import and export, brand management, marketing planning, and internet sales; and inspection and testing services; and road freight transport, general cargo warehousing services, loading and unloading, operation of road freight transport stations, and domestic freight forwarding. In addition, it engages in the provision of technology promotion services; business management consulting; economic and trade consulting; conference services; exhibition and display organizatio…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.