Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co (603569) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥6.53 to ¥9.17 (+40.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.30 – ¥14.97 · fair‑value band ¥6.65 – ¥11.67 · the ¥5.73 price screens below the ¥9.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co (603569) currently trades at ¥5.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.17, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co generated revenue of 3.5B CNY at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue declined 36.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.2%. Net debt stands at 369M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.65 (bear case) to ¥11.67 (bull case); at ¥5.73, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 60%, 603569 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥8.32) versus Asset-Based (¥2.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services for the automobile industry chain in China and internationally.
Full company description
Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services for the automobile industry chain in China and internationally. The company offers vehicle logistics services, including road transportation, multimodal transportation, social vehicle, and warehousing solutions; and international services, such as railway, road, ocean shipping, and air, as well as value-added services comprising packaging, vehicle trade and logistics, overseas warehousing and distribution, overseas agency, customs clearance, and others. It also provides energy logistics; storage and charging integration services, which include planning and design, EPC engineering, intelligent operation and maintenance, integrated energy services, and integrated whole-link solutions; and power battery recycling. In addition, the company is involved in the international freight forwarding and shipping businesses; technology promotion and application; solar power generation technology; wholesale and retail; software development; information technology; boat rental; energy and logistics information consulting; motor vehicle repair; energy storage product sales; and carbon emission reduction, conversion, capture, and storage technology research and development. It serves automobile manufacturers, dealers, and original equipment manufacturers. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Beijing, China. Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co.,Ltd is a subsidiary of Jilin Changjiu Industry Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.5B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥87.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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