Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co (603876) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 24.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from ¥11.91 to ¥9.38 (−21.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.77 – ¥38.03 · fair‑value band ¥7.04 – ¥11.73 · the ¥21.39 price screens above the ¥9.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co (603876) currently trades at ¥21.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.38, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co generated revenue of 27.1B CNY at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 965M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.04 (bear case) to ¥11.73 (bull case); at ¥21.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -56%, 603876 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.04) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sale of aluminum plates and foils.
Full company description
Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sale of aluminum plates and foils. Its products portfolio includes aluminum and aluminum alloy plates, belts, sheets, and coating materials, as well as processed products comprising aluminum oxide plates, cable foils, air-conditioner foils, decorative building material aluminum foils, air conditioner refrigerator evaporators, condensers, container foils, single and double zero foils, aluminium matrix composite, battery foil, and others. The company also offers PS version aluminium strips for computers, container foils, single foils, double zero foils, aluminum matrix composite products, battery foils, air conditioning foils, and aluminum sheets and strips. It serves green packaging, household appliances, lithium batteries, transportation, architectural decoration, automotive, and other fields. The company was formerly known as Zhenjiang Dingsheng Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd. Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd was founded in 2003 and is based in Zhenjiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co reported revenue of ¥26.3B in FY2025 versus ¥18.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥513M in FY2025, compounding +4.5%/yr from FY2021.
603876 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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