Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co (605599) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 11.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +15.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 62% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥19.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥19.93 to ¥61.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range ¥7.30 – ¥26.64 · fair‑value band ¥19.93 – ¥61.42 · the ¥16.04 price screens below the ¥26.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co (605599) currently trades at ¥16.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.01, implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co generated revenue of 34.9B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 73.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.93 (bear case) to ¥61.42 (bull case); at ¥16.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 62%, 605599 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥63.33) versus Asset-Based (¥4.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates as a retailer of gold jewelry in China. The company offers gold jewelry, precious metal investment products, precious metal cultural products, diamond and jade jewelry, and other products. It sells its products through offline direct stores, banks, and online e-commerce channels.
Full company description
Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co.,Ltd. operates as a retailer of gold jewelry in China. The company offers gold jewelry, precious metal investment products, precious metal cultural products, diamond and jade jewelry, and other products. It sells its products through offline direct stores, banks, and online e-commerce channels. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Caishikou Department Store Co reported revenue of ¥28.8B in FY2025 versus ¥10.4B in FY2021, a compound +29.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 132 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 197.40 | CHF 117.30 | -41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €455.40 | €502.30 | +10% |
| Kering SA KER | €248.50 | €60.61 | -76% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $140.73 | $19.95 | -86% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$11.82 | HK$12.28 | +4% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 40.95 | CHF 21.48 | -48% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$43.26 | HK$64.05 | +48% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 779.40 | kr 1,424 | +83% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.32 | €42.69 | -47% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹546.60 | ₹238.57 | -56% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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